2024 Governor Elections Predictions 2024 Governor Elections Predictions

2024 Governors Elections Predictions

These are the 2024 Governors elections predictions in the United States.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

State-by-state ratings and best guesses for all 2024 American gubernatorial races are below.  Page will be updated regularly between now and November, with the final predictions being issued by November 3.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.

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Additional Reading & Viewing

2024 Governors Elections Predictions: Overall and Map

US Governors Seat Totals - 2024 Governor Elections Predictions 9-1-2024 - REP 7 - DEM 3 - TOSSUP 1
7 governorships are predicted as Republican, 3 as Democratic, and one state is a tossup – click to enlarge image

2024 Governors Elections Predictions: State-by-State

Included below are state-by-state predictions for each of the 11 gubernatorial elections in 2024.  Major-party candidates and most recent election results are also included.

Delaware
Gov. John Carney (D)* – Term-Limited
Matt Meyer (D)
Mike Ramone (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2020: Carney (D)* 59.46%, Murray (R) 38.63%
Indiana
Gov. Eric Holcomb (R)* – Term-Limited
Mike Braun (R)
Jennifer McCormick (D)
Donald Rainwater (Lbt)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2020: Holcomb (R)* 56.51%, Myers (D) 32.05%, Rainwater (Lbt) 11.44%
Missouri
Gov. Mike Parson (R)* – Term-Limited
Mike Kehoe (R)
Crystal Quade (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2020: Parson (R)* 57.11%, Galloway (D) 40.69%
Montana
Gov. Greg Gianforte (R)*
Ryan Busse (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2020: Gianforte (R) 54.43%, Cooney (D) 41.56%
New Hampshire
Gov. Chris Sununu (R)* – Retiring
Joyce Craig (D)
Kelly Ayotte (R)
Toss-up election - Election Yard 
2022: Sununu (R)* 56.98%, Sherman (D) 41.47%
North Carolina
Gov. Roy Cooper (D)* – Term-Limited
Josh Stein (D)
Mark Robinson (R)
Lean Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2020: Cooper (D)* 51.52%, Forest (R) 47.01%
North Dakota
Gov. Doug Burgum (R)* – Retiring
Kelly Armstrong (R)
Merrill Piepkorn (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2020: Burgum (R)* 65.84%, Lenz (D) 25.38%
Utah
Gov. Spencer Cox (R)*
Brian King (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2020: Cox (R) 62.98%, Peterson (D) 30.35%
Vermont
Gov. Phil Scott (R)*
Esther Charlestin (D)
Kevin Hoyt (I)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Scott (R)* 70.91%, Siegel (D) 23.94%
Washington
Gov. Jay Inslee (D)* – Retiring
Bob Ferguson (D)
Dave Reichert (R)
 Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2020: Inslee (D)* 56.56%, Culp (R) 43.12%
West Virginia
Gov. Jim Justice (R)* – Retiring
Patrick Morrisey (R)
Steve Williams (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2020: Justice (R)* 63.49%, Salango (D) 30.22%
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