2024 US House Election Predictions 2024 US House Election Predictions

2024 US House Election Predictions

This is the landing page for the 2024 US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 10, 2024.

Each state has its own page with detailed predictions and listings of candidates.  Page will be updated regularly between now and November, with the final predictions being issued by November 3.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.

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2024 US House Election Predictions: Overall

US House Seat Predictions - 2024 US House Election Predictions 9-1-2024 - REP 209, DEM 207, TOSSUP 19
Republicans lead in 209 seats, Democrats lead in 207, and 19 seats are considered toss-ups – click to enlarge image

The Republicans are predicted to win 209 seats at this time, while the Democrats are predicted to win 207 seats.  19 seats are toss-ups at present.  218 seats are required for a majority.

Breakdown by Strength

US House Election Seats by Strength - 2024 US House Election Predictions 9-1-2024 - Arranging US House predictions by category/strength
Arranging all the US House races by the strength of the category in which we placed them – 178 Republican and 157 Democratic seats are considered safe – click to enlarge image

2024 US House Election Predictions: Seat High-Low Ranges

US House Seat Ranges 2024 - US House Election Predictions 9-1-2024 - REP 196-244, DEM 191-239
Republicans will win between 196 and 244 seats – Democrats will win between 191 and 239 seats

2024 US House Election Predictions: State-by-State

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are at stake in this election.  Please click on the state below to proceed to individual race ratings.  Number of seats in each state represented in parenthesis.

Alabama (7)Alaska (1)
Arizona (9)Arkansas (4)
California (52)Colorado (8)
Connecticut (5)Delaware (1)
Florida (28)Georgia (14)
Hawaii (2)Idaho (2)
Illinois (17)Indiana (9)
Iowa (4)Kansas (4)
Kentucky (6)Louisiana (6)
Maine (2)Maryland (8)
Massachusetts (9)Michigan (13)
Minnesota (8)Mississippi (4)
Missouri (8)Montana (2)
Nebraska (3)Nevada (4)
New Hampshire (2)New Jersey (12)
New Mexico (3)New York (26)
North Carolina (14)North Dakota (1)
Ohio (15)Oklahoma (5)
Oregon (6)Pennsylvania (17)
Rhode Island (4)South Carolina (7)
South Dakota (1)Tennessee (9)
Texas (38)Utah (4)
Vermont (1)Virginia (11)
Washington (10)West Virginia (2)
Wisconsin (8)Wyoming (1)

Most Recent US House Seat Results

2022 (118th Congress)REP 222, DEM 213
2020 (117th Congress)DEM 222, REP 213
2018 (116th Congress)DEM 235, REP 200
2016 (115th Congress)REP 241, DEM 194
2014 (114th Congress)REP 247, DEM 188
2012 (113th Congress)REP 234, DEM 201
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