These are the 2024 Arizona US House election predictions. This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.
Arizona elects nine members to the United States House of Representatives. As of now, six are Republicans and three are Democrats.
Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. Arizona held its state primary on July 30.
The Arizona Secretary of State website has more information on elections within the state.
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2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction
Republicans | 4 |
Democrats | 3 |
Toss-Up | 2 |
2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions: By District
Arizona-01 |
Scottsdale, Carefree, Paradise Valley |
Rep. David Schweikert (R)* |
Amish Shah (D) |
2022: Schweikert (R)* 50.44%, Hodge (D) 49.56% |
Arizona-02 |
Flagstaff, Prescott, Casa Grande |
Rep. Eli Crane (R)* |
Jonathan Nez (D) |
2022: Crane (R)* 53.86%, O’Halleran (D)* 46.12% |
Arizona-03 |
Phoenix, Glendale |
Rep. Ruben Gallego (D)* – Running for US Senate |
Yassamin Ansari (D) |
Jeff Zink (R) |
2022: Gallego (D)* 76.98%, Zink (R) 23.02% |
Arizona-04 |
Tempe, Mesa, Chandler |
Rep. Greg Stanton (D)* |
Kelly Cooper (R) |
2022: Stanton (D)* 56.10%, Cooper (R) 43.89% |
Arizona-05 |
Gilbert, Queen Creek, Apache Junction |
Rep. Andy Biggs (R)* |
Katrina Schaffner (D) |
2022: Biggs (R)* 56.74%, Ramos (D) 37.39% |
Arizona-06 |
Sierra Vista, Oro Valley, Safford |
Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R)* |
Kirsten Engel (D) |
2022: Ciscomani (R) 50.73%, Engel (D) 49.24% |
Arizona-07 |
Tucson, Yuma, Gila Bend |
Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D)* |
Daniel Butierez (R) |
2022: Grijalva (D) 64.54%, Pozzolo (R) 35.46% |
Arizona-08 |
Peoria, Sun City |
Rep. Debbie Lesko (R)* – Retiring |
Abe Hamadeh (R) |
Greg Whitten (D) |
2022: Lesko (R)* elected unopposed |
Arizona-09 |
Kingman, Lake Havasu City, Goodyear |
Rep. Paul Gosar (R)* |
Quacy Smith (D) |
2022: Gosar (R)* elected unopposed |