2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions 2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions

2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 North Carolina US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

North Carolina elects 14 members to the United States House of Representatives.  As of the 2024 election, each party controlled seven seats.

New Congressional district lines will go into effect for this election; 2022 election results will not be included below, as some districts are very different from the prior configuration.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.  North Carolina held its primary on March 5.

North Carolina elections are administered by the North Carolina State Board of Elections.

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2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Republicans10 (+3)
Democrats3 (-3)
Toss-Up1

2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions: By District

North Carolina-01
Elizabeth City, Roanoke Rapids, Wilson, Goldsboro
Rep. Don Davis (D)*
Laurie Buckhout (R)
Toss-up election - Election Yard 
North Carolina-02
Raleigh, Garner, Cary
Rep. Deborah Ross (D)*
Alan Swain (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
North Carolina-03
Nags Head, New Bern, Greenville, Jacksonville
Rep. Greg Murphy (R)*
Gheorghe Cormos (Lbt)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
North Carolina-04
Durham, Chapel Hill, Apex, Pittsboro
Rep. Valerie Foushee (D)*
Eric Blankenburg (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
North Carolina-05
Greensboro, Mount Airy, Boone, Lenoir
Rep. Virginia Foxx (R)*
Chuck Hubbard (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
North Carolina-06
Greensboro, High Point, Salisbury, Kannapolis
No Incumbent
Addison McDowell (R)
Kevin Hayes (Const)
Safe Rep - Gain - Election Yard
North Carolina-07
Wilmington, Elizabethtown, Fayetteville
Rep. David Rouzer (R)*
Marlando Pridgen (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
North Carolina-08
Matthews, Monroe, Rockingham, Lumberton
Rep. Dan Bishop (R)* – Retiring
Mark Harris (R)
Justin Dues (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
North Carolina-09
Fayetteville, Asheboro, Burlington
Rep. Richard Hudson (R)*
Nigel Bristow (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
North Carolina-10
Hickory, Statesville, Winston-Salem
Rep. Patrick McHenry (R)* – Retiring
Pat Harrigan (R)
Ralph Scott (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
North Carolina-11
Asheville, Murphy, Marion
Rep. Chuck Edwards (R)*
Caleb Rudow (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
North Carolina-12
Charlotte, Pineville
Rep. Alma Adams (D)*
Addul Ali (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
North Carolina-13
Sanford, Benson, Wake Forest, Roxboro
Rep. Wiley Nickel (D)* – Retiring
Frank Pierce (D)
Brad Knott (R)
 Safe Rep - Gain - Election Yard
North Carolina-14
Morganton, Gastonia, Huntersville, Ballantyne
Rep. Jeff Jackson (D)* – Retiring
Pam Genant (D)
Tim Moore (R)
 Safe Rep - Gain - Election Yard
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