2024 Pennsylvania US House Election Predictions 2024 Pennsylvania US House Election Predictions

2024 Pennsylvania US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 Pennsylvania US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

Pennsylvania elects 17 members to the United States House of Representatives.  As of 2024, nine are Democrats and eight are Republicans.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.  Pennsylvania held its state primary on April 23.

The Department of State is responsible for administering all elections within the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

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2024 Pennsylvania US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Republicans8
Democrats7
Toss-Up2

2024 Pennsylvania US House Election Predictions: By District

Pennsylvania-01
Yardley, Bensalem, Doylestown, Quakertown
Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R)*
Ashley Ehasz (D)
Lean Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Fitzpatrick (R)* 54.87%. Ehasz (D) 45.13%
Pennsylvania-02
Philadelphia (Kensington, Northeast Philadelphia)
Rep. Brendan Boyle (D)*
Aaron Bashir (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Boyle (D)* 75.65%, Bashir (R) 24.35%
Pennsylvania-03
Philadelphia (South Philadelphia, Manayunk), Millbourne
Rep. Dwight Evans (D)*
Unopposed
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Evans (D)* 95.14%, Hoeppner (SWP) 4.86%
Pennsylvania-04
Abington, Conshohocken, Bala Cynwyd, Kutztown
Rep. Madeleine Dean (D)*
David Winkler (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Dean (D)* 61.29%, Nascimento (R) 38.71%
Pennsylvania-05
King of Prussia, Wynnewood, Chester, South Philadelphia
Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon (D)*
Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Scanlon (D)* 65.08%, Galluch (R) 34.92%
Pennsylvania-06
Reading, West Chester, Coatesville, Oxford
Rep. Chrissy Houlahan (D)*
Neil Young Jr (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Houlahan (D)* 58.31%, Ciarrocchi (R) 41.69%
Pennsylvania-07
Allentown, Easton, Bethlehem, Lehighton
Rep. Susan Wild (D)*
Ryan Mackenzie (R)
 Toss-up election - Election Yard
2022: Wild (D)* 50.98%, Scheller (R) 49.02%
Pennsylvania-08
Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, East Stroudsburg, Matamoras
Rep. Matt Cartwright (D)*
Rob Bresnahan Jr (R)
 Toss-up election - Election Yard
2022: Cartwright (D)* 51.22%, Bognet (R) 48.78%
Pennsylvania-09
Lebanon, Tamaqua, Williamsport, Sayre
Rep. Dan Meuser (R)*
Amanda Waldman (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Meuser (R)* 69.31%, Waldman (D) 30.69%
Pennsylvania-10
Harrisburg, York, Carlisle, Hershey
Rep. Scott Perry (R)*
Janelle Stelson (D)
Lean Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Perry (R)* 53.83%, Daniels (D) 46.17%
Pennsylvania-11
Lancaster, Ephrata, Jacobus
Rep. Lloyd Smucker (R)*
Jim Atkinson (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Smucker (R)* 61.55%, Hollister (D) 38.45%
Pennsylvania-12
Pittsburgh, McKeesport, Plum
Rep. Summer Lee (D)*
James Hayes (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Lee (D) 56.20%, Doyle (R) 43.80%
Pennsylvania-13
Altoona, Johnstown, Bedford, Gettysburg
Rep. John Joyce (R)*
Beth Farnham (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Joyce (R)* elected unopposed
Pennsylvania-14
Washington, Somerset, Latrobe, Indiana
Rep. Guy Reschenthaler (R)*
Chris Dziados (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Reschenthaler (R)* elected unopposed
Pennsylvania-15
Bradford, State College, Punxsutawney, Mansfield
Rep. Glenn Thompson (R)*
Zacheray Womer (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Thompson (R)* 69.94%, Molesevich (D) 30.06%
Pennsylvania-16
Erie, Meadville, New Castle, Butler
Rep. Mike Kelly (R)*
Preston Nouri (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Kelly (R)* 59.36%, Pastore (D) 40.64%
Pennsylvania-17
Penn Hills, Coraopolis, Aliquippa, Beaver
Rep. Chris Deluzio (D)*
Rob Mercuri (R)
 Lean Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Deluzio (D) 53.39%, Shaffer (R) 46.61%
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