2024 Texas US House Election Predictions 2024 Texas US House Election Predictions

2024 Texas US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 Texas US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

Texas elects 38 members to the United States House of Representatives.  25 of them are Republican and 13 are Democrats.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.  Texas held its primary on March 5.

The Texas Secretary of State website has further information on elections and voting in Texas.

Jump to Other Predictions

US President | US Senate | US House | Governors

2024 Texas US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Republicans25
Democrats13
Toss-Up0

2024 Texas US House Election Predictions: By District

Texas-01
Texarkana, Tyler, Longview, Hemphill
Rep. Nathaniel Moran (R)*
Unopposed
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Moran (R) 78.08%, Jefferson (D) 21.92%
Texas-02
The Woodlands, Kingwood, Sheldon, Spring
Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R)*
Peter Filler (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Crenshaw (R)* 65.91%, Fulford (D) 34.09%
Texas-03
McKinney, Allen, Greenville
Rep. Keith Self (R)*
Sandeep Srivastava (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Self (R)* 60.55%, Srivastava (D) 36.91%
Texas-04
Paris, Denison, Frisco, Rockwall
Rep. Pat Fallon (R)*
Simon Cardell (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Fallon (R)* 66.71%, Omere (D) 30.93%
Texas-05
Garland, Mesquite, Athens
Rep. Lance Gooden (R)*
Ruth Torres (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Gooden (R)* 63.97%, Hill (D) 33.93%
Texas-06
Irving, Arlington, Waxahachie, Palestine
Rep. Jake Ellzey (R)*
John Love (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Ellzey (R)* elected unopposed
Texas-07
Sugar Land, Bellaire, Houston
Rep. Lizzie Fletcher (D)*
Caroline Kane (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Fletcher (D)* 63.79%, Teague (R) 36.21%
Texas-08
Cypress, Conroe, Livingston
Rep. Morgan Luttrell (R)*
Laura Jones (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Luttrell (R) 68.07%, Jones (D) 30.54%
Texas-09
Houston, Fresno, Missouri City
Rep. Al Green (D)*
Unopposed
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Green (D)* 76.68%, Leon (R) 23.32%
Texas-10
Austin, College Station, Schulenburg
Rep. Michael McCaul (R)*
Theresa Boisseau (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: McCaul (R)* 63.30%, Nuno (D) 34.30%
Texas-11
Midland, Odessa, San Angelo
Rep. August Pfluger (R)*
Ron Medina (I)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Pfluger (R)* elected unopposed
Texas-12
Fort Worth, Saginaw, Weatherford
Rep. Kay Granger (R)* – Retiring
Craig Goldman (R)
Trey Hunt (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Granger (R)* 64.27%, Hunt (D) 35.73%
Texas-13
Denton, Wichita Falls, Amarillo
Rep. Ronny Jackson (R)*
Mike Kolls (Lbt)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Jackson (R)* 75.35%, Brown (D) 24.65%
Texas-14
Port Arthur, Galveston, League City, Freeport
Rep. Randy Weber (R)*
Rhonda Hart (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Weber (R)* 68.55%, Williams (D) 31.45%
Texas-15
McAllen, Edinburg, Seguin
Rep. Monica De La Cruz (R)*
Michelle Vallejo (D)
 Lean Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: De La Cruz (R) 53.31%, Vallejo (D) 44.83%
Texas-16
El Paso, Horizon City, Canutillo
Rep. Veronica Escobar (D)*
Ireme Armendariz-Jackson (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Escobar (D)* 63.46%, Armendariz-Jackson (R) 36.54%
Texas-17
Waco, Round Rock, Huntsville, Lufkin
Rep. Pete Sessions (R)*
Mark Lorenzen (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Sessions (R)* 66.48%, Woods (D) 33.52%
Texas-18
Houston
Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee (D)* – Passed away July 19
Sylvester Turner (D)
Lana Centonze (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Jackson Lee (D)* 70.72%, Montiel (R) 26.20%
Texas-19
Lubbock, Abilene, Big Spring
Rep. Jodey Arrington (R)*
Unopposed
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Arrington (R)* 80.30%, Lewis (I) 19.70%
Texas-20
San Antonio, Westover Hills
Rep. Joaquin Castro (D)*
Unopposed
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Castro (D)* 68.42%, Sinclair (R) 31.57%
Texas-21
San Antonio, Fredericksburg, Kerrville
Rep. Chip Roy (R)*
Kristin Hook (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Roy (R)* 62.84%, Zapata (D) 37.16%
Texas-22
Pearland, Sugar Land, Bay City
Rep. Troy Nehls (R)*
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Nehls (R)* 62.19%, Jordan (D) 35.51%
Texas-23
Del Rio, Uvalde, Pecos
Rep. Tony Gonzales (R)*
Santos Limon (D)
 Likely Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Gonzales (R)* 55.87%, Lira (D) 38.77%
Texas-24
University Park, Coppell, Southlake
Rep. Beth Van Duyne (R)*
Sam Eppler (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Van Duyne (R)* 59.75%, McDowell (D) 40.25%
Texas-25
Arlington, Cleburne, Mineral Wells
Rep. Roger Williams (R)*
Unopposed
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Williams (R)* elected unopposed
Texas-26
Lewisville, Flower Mound, Gainesville, Decatur
Rep. Michael Burgess (R)* – Retiring
Brandon Gill (R)
Ernest Lineberger (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Burgess (R)* 69.29%, Kolls (Lbt) 30.71%
Texas-27
Corpus Christi, Victoria, Gonzales, Port Lavaca
Rep. Michael Cloud (R)*
Tanya Lloyd (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Cloud (R)* 64.44%, Perez (D) 35.56%
Texas-28
Laredo, San Antonio
Rep. Henry Cuellar (D)*
Jay Furman (R)
 Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Cuellar (D)* 56.65%, Garcia (R) 43.35%
Texas-29
Houston, Pasadena, Aldine
Rep. Sylvia Garcia (D)*
Alan Garza (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Garcia (D)* 71.41%, Schafranek (R) 28.59%
Texas-30
Dallas, De Soto, Duncanville
Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D)*
Unopposed
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Crockett (D) 74.72%, Rodgers (R) 21.72%
Texas-31
Round Rock, Temple, Hamilton
Rep. John Carter (R)*
Stuart Whitlow (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Carter (R)* elected unopposed
Texas-32
Plano, Richardson, Addison, Balch Springs
Rep. Colin Allred (D)* – Running for US Senate
Julie Johnson (D)
Darrell Day (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Allred (D)* 65.36%, Swad (R) 34.64%
Texas-33
Fort Worth, Euless, Grand Prairie, Irving
Rep. Marc Veasey (D)*
Patrick Gillespie (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Veasey (D)* 71.98%, Gillespie (R) 25.61%
Texas-34
Brownsville, Weslaco, Kingsville
Rep. Vicente Gonzalez (D)*
Mayra Flores (R)
Lean Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Gonzalez (D)* 52.73%, Flores (R)* 44.23%
Texas-35
San Antonio, San Marcos, Austin
Rep. Greg Casar (D)*
Steven Wright (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Casar (D) 72.58%, McQueen (R) 27.42%
Texas-36
Beaumont, Cleveland, Deer Park, Baytown
Rep. Brian Babin (R)*
Dayne Steele (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Babin (R)* 69.46%, Haire (D) 30.54%
Texas-37
Austin
Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D)*
Jenny Garcia Sharon (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Doggett (D)* 76.76%, Sharon (R) 20.97%
Texas-38
Houston, Jersey Village, Cypress, Tomball
Rep. Wesley Hunt (R)*
Melissa McDonough (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Hunt (R)* 62.95%, Klussmann (D) 35.52%
Skip to content