2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions 2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions

2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 Arizona US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

Arizona elects nine members to the United States House of Representatives. As of now, six are Republicans and three are Democrats.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. Arizona held its state primary on July 30.

The Arizona Secretary of State website has more information on elections within the state.

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2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Republicans4
Democrats3
Toss-Up2

2024 Arizona US House Election Predictions: By District

Arizona-01
Scottsdale, Carefree, Paradise Valley
Rep. David Schweikert (R)*
Amish Shah (D)
Toss-up election - Election Yard 
2022: Schweikert (R)* 50.44%, Hodge (D) 49.56%
Arizona-02
Flagstaff, Prescott, Casa Grande
Rep. Eli Crane (R)*
Jonathan Nez (D)
Likely Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Crane (R)* 53.86%, O’Halleran (D)* 46.12%
Arizona-03
Phoenix, Glendale
Rep. Ruben Gallego (D)* – Running for US Senate
Yassamin Ansari (D)
Jeff Zink (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Gallego (D)* 76.98%, Zink (R) 23.02%
Arizona-04
Tempe, Mesa, Chandler
Rep. Greg Stanton (D)*
Kelly Cooper (R)
 Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Stanton (D)* 56.10%, Cooper (R) 43.89%
Arizona-05
Gilbert, Queen Creek, Apache Junction
Rep. Andy Biggs (R)*
Katrina Schaffner (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Biggs (R)* 56.74%, Ramos (D) 37.39%
Arizona-06
Sierra Vista, Oro Valley, Safford
Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R)*
Kirsten Engel (D)
 Toss-up election - Election Yard
2022: Ciscomani (R) 50.73%, Engel (D) 49.24%
Arizona-07
Tucson, Yuma, Gila Bend
Rep. Raúl Grijalva (D)*
Daniel Butierez (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Grijalva (D) 64.54%, Pozzolo (R) 35.46%
Arizona-08
Peoria, Sun City
Rep. Debbie Lesko (R)* – Retiring
Abe Hamadeh (R)
Greg Whitten (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Lesko (R)* elected unopposed
Arizona-09
Kingman, Lake Havasu City, Goodyear
Rep. Paul Gosar (R)*
Quacy Smith (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Gosar (R)* elected unopposed
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