These are the 2024 California US House election predictions. This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.
California elects 52 members to the United States House of Representatives. 40 current representatives are Democrats and 12 are Republicans.
Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. California held its state top-two primary on March 5. In this primary system, the top two candidates of any party affiliation advance to the general election.
The California Secretary of State website has further information on California elections and their electoral system.
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2024 California US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction
| Democrats | 40 |
| Republicans | 8 |
| Toss-Up | 4 |
2024 California US House Election Predictions: By District
| California-01 |
| Redding, Alturas, Chico |
| Rep. Doug LaMalfa (R) |
| Rose Yee (D) |
 |
| 2022: LaMalfa (R)* 62.07%, Steiner (D) 37.93% |
| California-02 |
| Eureka, Ukiah, San Rafael, Novato |
| Rep. Jared Huffman (D)* |
| Chris Coulombe (R) |
 |
| 2022: Huffman (D)* 74.40%, Brower (R) 25.60% |
| California-03 |
| Truckee, Roseville, Death Valley |
| Rep. Kevin Kiley (R) |
| Jessica Morse (D) |
 |
| 2022: Kiley (R) 53.65%, Jones (D) 46.35% |
| California-04 |
| Santa Rosa, Napa, Davis |
| Rep. Mike Thompson (D)* |
| John Munn (R) |
| |
| 2022: Thompson (D)* 67.80%, Brock (R) 32.20% |
| California-05 |
| Fresno, Modesto, Placerville |
| Rep. Tom McClintock (R)* |
| Mike Barkley (D) |
| |
| 2022: McClintock (R)* 61.31%, Barkley (D) 38.69% |
| California-06 |
| Sacramento, Rancho Cordova, Citrus Heights |
| Rep. Ami Bera (D)* |
| Christine Bish (R) |
 |
| 2022: Bera (D)* 55.95%, Hamilton (R) 44.05% |
| California-07 |
| Sacramento, Elk Grove, Isleton |
| Rep. Doris Matsui (D)* |
| Tom Silva (R) |
| |
| 2022: Matsui (D)* 68.26%, Semenenko (R) 31.74% |
| California-08 |
| Ricmond, Vallejo, Antioch, Fairfield |
| Rep. John Garamendi (D)* |
| Rudy Recile (R) |
| |
| 2022: Garamendi (D)* 75.73%, Recile (R) 24.27% |
| California-09 |
| Stockton, Tracy, Lodi, Manteca |
| Rep. Josh Harder (D)* |
| Kevin Lincoln (R) |
| |
| 2022: Harder (D)* 54.82%, Patti (R) 45.18% |
| California-10 |
| Concord, Moraga, San Ramon, Brentwood |
| Rep. Mark DeSaulnier (D)* |
| Katherline Piccinini (R) |
| |
| 2022: DeSaulnier (D)* 78.93%, Kerr (Grn) 21.07% |
| California-11 |
| San Francisco |
| Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D)* |
| Bruce Lou (R) |
| |
| 2022: Pelosi (D)* 83.95%, Dennis (R) 16.05% |
| California-12 |
| Oakland, Berkeley, Alameda |
| Rep. Barbara Lee (D)* – Retiring |
| Lateefah Simon (D) |
| Jennifer Tran (D) |
| |
| 2022: Lee (D)* 90.47%, Slauson (R) 9.53% |
| California-13 |
| Modesto, Merced, Madera |
| Rep. John Duarte (R)* |
| Adam Gray (D) |
 |
| 2022: Duarte (R) 50.21%, Gray (D) 49.79% |
| California-14 |
| Fremont, Hayward, Livermore |
| Rep. Eric Swalwell (D)* |
| Vin Kruttiventi (R) |
| |
| 2022: Swalwell (D)* 69.34%, Hayden (R) 30.66% |
| California-15 |
| Daly City, San Mateo, Redwood City |
| Rep. Kevin Mullin (D)* |
| Anna Cheng Kramer (R) |
| |
| 2022: Mullin (D)* 55.46%, Canepa (D) 44.54% |
| California-16 |
| Half Moon Bay, Palo Alto, Campbell |
| Rep. Anna Eshoo (D)* – Retiring |
| Sam Liccardo (D) |
| Evan Low (D) |
| |
| 2022: Eshoo (D)* 57.77%, Kumar (D) 42.23% |
| California-17 |
| San Jose, Santa Clara, Sunnyvale |
| Rep. Ro Khanna (D)* |
| Anita Chen (R) |
| |
| 2022: Khanna (D)* 70.93%, Tandon (R) 29.07% |
| California-18 |
| San Jose, Watsonville, Salinas |
| Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D)* |
| Peter Hernandez (R) |
| |
| 2022: Lofgren (D)* 65.85%, Hernandez (R) 34.15% |
| California-19 |
| Santa Cruz, Monterey, Paso Robles |
| Rep. Jimmy Panetta (D)* |
| Jason Anderson (R) |
| |
| 2022: Panetta (D)* 68.65%, Gorman (R) 31.35% |
| California-20 |
| Clovis, Bakersfield, Ambler |
| Rep. Vince Fong (R)* |
| Mike Boudreaux (R) – Withdrawn |
| |
| 2022: McCarthy (R)* 67.25%, Wood (D) 32.75% |
| California-21 |
| Fresno, Visalia |
| Rep. Jim Costa (D)* |
| Michael Maher (R) |
| |
| 2022: Costa (D)* 54.18%, Maher (R) 45.82% |
| California-22 |
| Bakersfield, Porterville, Hanford |
| Rep. David Valadao (R)* |
| Rudy Salas (D) |
| |
| 2022: Valadao (R)* 51.52%, Salas (D) 48.48% |
| California-23 |
| Redlands, Victorville, Barstow |
| Rep. Jay Obernolte (R)* |
| Derek Marshall (D) |
| |
| 2022: Obernolte (R)* 61.03%, Marshall (D) 38.97% |
| California-24 |
| Santa Barbara, Santa Maria, San Luis Obispo |
| Rep. Salud Carbajal (D)* |
| Thomas Cole (R) |
| |
| 2022: Carbajal (D)* 60.57%, Allen (R) 39.43% |
| California-25 |
| Hemet, Indio, El Centro |
| Rep. Raul Ruiz (D)* |
| Ian Weeks (R) |
| |
| 2022: Ruiz (D)* 57.38%, Hawkins (R) 42.62% |
| California-26 |
| Oxnard, Thousand Oaks, Simi Valley |
| Rep. Julia Brownley (D)* |
| Michael Koslow (R) |
| |
| 2022: Brownley (D)* 54.53%, Jacobs (R) 45.47% |
| California-27 |
| Santa Clarita, Palmdale, Lancaster |
| Rep. Mike Garcia (R)* |
| George Whitesides (D) |
| |
| 2022: Garcia (R)* 53.24%, Smith (D) 46.76% |
| California-28 |
| Alhambra, Pasadena, Claremont |
| Rep. Judy Chu (D)* |
| April Verlato (R) |
| |
| 2022: Chu (D)* 66.24%, Hallman (R) 33.76% |
| California-29 |
| San Fernando, Van Nuys, North Hollywood |
| Rep. Tony Cárdenas (D)* – Retiring |
| Luz Rivas (D) |
| Benito Bernal (R) |
| |
| 2022: Cárdenas (D)* 58.54%, Dueñas (D) 41.46% |
| California-30 |
| Hollywood, Glendale, Burbank |
| Rep. Adam Schiff (D)* – Running for US Senate |
| Laura Friedman (D) |
| Alex Balekian (R) |
| |
| 2022: Schiff (D)* 71.11%, Girl (D) 28.89% |
| California-31 |
| Covina, Azusa, El Monte |
| Rep. Grace Napolitano (D)* – Retiring |
| Gil Cisneros (D) |
| Daniel Martinez (R) |
| |
| 2022: Napolitano (D)* 59.54%, Martinez (R) 40.46% |
| California-32 |
| Northridge, Encino, Malibu |
| Rep. Brad Sherman (D)* |
| Larry Thompson (R) |
| |
| 2022: Sherman (D)* 69.17%, Volotzky (R) 30.83% |
| California-33 |
| San Bernardino, Rialto, Redlands |
| Rep. Pete Aguilar (D)* |
| Tom Herman (R) |
| |
| 2022: Aguilar (D)* 57.71%, Porter (R) 42.29% |
| California-34 |
| Downtown Los Angeles, East Los Angeles |
| Rep. Jimmy Gomez (D)* |
| David Kim (D) |
| |
| 2022: Gomez (D)* 51.24%, Kim (D) 48.76% |
| California-35 |
| Pomona, Ontario, Rancho Cucamonga, Fontana |
| Rep. Norma Torres (D)* |
| Mike Cargile (R) |
| |
| 2022: Torres (D)* 57.36%, Cargile (R) 42.64% |
| California-36 |
| Santa Monica, Beverly Hills, Redondo Beach |
| Rep. Ted Lieu (D)* |
| Melissa Toomim (R) |
| |
| 2022: Lieu (D)* 69.75%, Collins (R) 30.25% |
| California-37 |
| Culver City, Florence, Jefferson Park |
| Rep. Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D)* |
| Juan Rey (I) |
| |
| 2022: Kamlager-Dove (D) 63.95%, Perry (R) 36.05% |
| California-38 |
| Montebello, Norwalk, Diamond Bar |
| Rep. Linda Sánchez (D)* |
| Eric Ching (R) |
| |
| 2022: Sánchez (D)* 58.09%, Ching (R) 41.91% |
| California-39 |
| Riverside, Moreno Valley, Perris |
| Rep. Mark Takano (D)* |
| David Serpa (R) |
| |
| 2022: Takano (D)* 57.67%, Smith (R) 42.33% |
| California-40 |
| Mission Viejo, Tustin, Yorba Linda |
| Rep. Young Kim (R)* |
| Joe Kerr (D) |
| |
| 2022: Kim (R)* 56.84%, Mahmood (D) 43.16% |
| California-41 |
| Corona, Menifee, Palm Springs, Palm Desert |
| Rep. Ken Calvert (R)* |
| Will Rollins (D) |
| |
| 2022: Calvert (R)* 52.35%, Rollins (D) 47.65% |
| California-42 |
| Downey, Huntington Park, Long Beach |
| Rep. Robert Garcia (D)* |
| John Briscoe (R) |
| |
| 2022: Garcia (D) 68.37%, Briscoe (R) 31.63% |
| California-43 |
| Inglewood, Compton, Torrance |
| Rep. Maxine Waters (D)* |
| Steve Williams (R) |
| |
| 2022: Waters (D)* 77.33%, Navarro (R) 22.67% |
| California-44 |
| Lynwood, Carson, San Pedro |
| Rep. Nanette Barragán (D)* |
| Roger Groh (R) |
| |
| 2022: Barragán (D)* 72.21%, Jones (R) 27.79% |
| California-45 |
| Cerritos, Cypress, Garden Grove |
| Rep. Michelle Steel (R)* |
| Derek Tran (D) |
 |
| 2022: Steel (R)* 52.41%, Chen (D) 47.59% |
| California-46 |
| Anaheim, Fullerton, Santa Ana |
| Rep. Lou Correa (D)* |
| David Pan (R) |
| |
| 2022: Correa (D)* 61.79%, Gonzales (R) 38.21% |
| California-47 |
| Huntington, Irvine, Costa Mesa |
| Rep. Katie Porter (D)* – Retiring |
| Dave Min (D) |
| Scott Baugh (R) |
 |
| 2022: Porter (D)* 51.72%, Baugh (R) 48.28% |
| California-48 |
| Temecula, Poway, Escondido |
| Rep. Darrell Issa (R)* |
| Stephen Houlahan (D) |
| |
| 2022: Issa (R)* 60.63%, Houlahan (D) 39.64% |
| California-49 |
| Encinitas, Oceanside, San Clemente |
| Rep. Mike Levin (D)* |
| Matt Gunderson (R) |
| |
| 2022: Levin (D)* 52.63%, Maryott (R) 47.37% |
| California-50 |
| San Diego, Coronado, San Marcos |
| Rep. Scott Peters (D)* |
| Peter Bono (R) |
| |
| 2022: Peters (D)* 62.84%, Gustafson (R) 37.16% |
| California-51 |
| Mission Valley, El Cajon, Mira Mesa |
| Rep. Sara Jacobs (D)* |
| Bill Wells (R) |
| |
| 2022: Jacobs (D)* 61.86%, Caplan (R) 38.14% |
| California-52 |
| National City, Imperial Beach, San Ysidro |
| Rep. Juan Vargas (D)* |
| Justin Lee (R) |
| |
| 2022: Vargas (D)* 66.67%, Geffeney (R) 33.33% |