These are the 2024 Florida US House election predictions. This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.
Florida elects 28 members to the United States House of Representatives. Prior to the 2024 election, 20 are Republicans and eight are Democrats.
Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. Florida’s primary was on August 20.
Florida’s Secretary of State website has more information on elections within Florida.
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2024 Florida US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction
| Republicans | 20 |
| Democrats | 8 |
| Toss-Up | 0 |
2024 Florida US House Election Predictions: By District
| Florida-01 |
| Pensacola, Destin, Crestview |
| Rep. Matt Gaetz (R)* |
| Guy Valimont (D) |
 |
| 2022: Gaetz (R)* 67.86%, Jones (D) 32.14% |
| Florida-02 |
| Tallahassee, Panama City, DeFuniak Springs |
| Rep. Neal Dunn (R)* |
| Yen Bailey (D) |
| |
| 2022: Dunn (R)* 59.80%, Lawson (D)* 40.20% |
| Florida-03 |
| Gainesville, Ocala, Lake City |
| Rep. Kat Cammack (R)* |
| Tom Wells (D) |
| |
| 2022: Kammack (R)* 62.52%, Hawk (D) 36.29% |
| Florida-04 |
| Jacksonville, Fernandina Beach, Middleburg |
| Rep. Aaron Bean (R)* |
| LaShonda Holloway (D) |
| |
| 2022: Bean (R) 60.45%, Holloway (D) 39.45% |
| Florida-05 |
| Jacksonville, Ponte Vedra Beach, Saint Augustine |
| Rep. John Rutherford (R)* |
| Jay McGovern (D) |
| |
| 2022: Rutherford (R)* elected unopposed |
| Florida-06 |
| Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, Palatka, DeLand |
| Rep. Michael Waltz (R)* |
| James Stockton (D) |
| |
| 2022: Waltz (R)* 75.33%, Hannoush (Lbt) 24.67% |
| Florida-07 |
| Sanford, Deltona, Port Orange |
| Rep. Cory Mills (R)* |
| Jennifer Adams (D) |
 |
| 2022: Mills (R) 58.53%, Green (D) 41.47% |
| Florida-08 |
| Melbourne, Vero Beach, Titusville |
| Rep. Bill Posey (R) – Retiring |
| Mike Haridopolos (R) |
| Sandy Kennedy (D) |
| |
| 2022: Posey (R)* 64.91%, Terry (D) 35.09% |
| Florida-09 |
| Kissimmee, St. Cloud, Conway |
| Rep. Darren Soto (D)* |
| Thomas Chalifoux (R) |
 |
| 2022: Soto (D)* 53.64%, Moore (R) 46.36% |
| Florida-10 |
| Orlando, University Park |
| Rep. Maxwell Frost (D)* |
| Willie Montague (R) |
 |
| 2022: Frost (D) 59.00%, Wimbish (R) 38.44% |
| Florida-11 |
| The Villages, Buena Vista, Leesburg |
| Rep. Daniel Webster (R)* |
| Barbie Hall (D) |
| |
| 2022: Webster (R)* 63.07%, Munns (D) 35.41% |
| Florida-12 |
| Spring Hill, Port Richey, Homosassa Springs |
| Rep. Gus Bilirakis (R)* |
| Rock Aboujaoude Jr. (D) |
| |
| 2022: Bilirakis (R)* 70.38%, Walker (D) 29.62% |
| Florida-13 |
| Saint Petersburg, Clearwater, Tarpon Springs |
| Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R)* |
| Whitney Fox (D) |
 |
| 2022: Luna (R) 53.14%, Lynn (D) 45.05% |
| Florida-14 |
| Tampa, Saint Petersburg, Apollo Beach |
| Rep. Kathy Castor (D)* |
| Robert Rochford (R) |
| |
| 2022: Castor (D)* 56.90%, Judge (R) 43.10% |
| Florida-15 |
| Lutz, Zephyrhills, Plant City, Brandon |
| Rep. Laurel Lee (R)* |
| Pat Kemp (D) |
| |
| 2022: Lee (R) 58.54%, Cohn (D) 41.46% |
| Florida-16 |
| Bradenton, Brandon, Myakka City |
| Rep. Vern Buchanan (R)* |
| Jan Schneider (D) |
| |
| 2022: Buchanan (R)* 62.14%, Schneider (D) 37.85% |
| Florida-17 |
| Sarasota, Venice, Punta Gorda |
| Rep. Greg Steube (R)* |
| Manny Lopez (D) |
| |
| 2022: Steube (R)* 63.85%, Kale (D) 35.51% |
| Florida-18 |
| Lakeland, Winter Haven, Okeechobee, LaBelle |
| Rep. Scott Franklin (R)* |
| Andrea Doria Kale (D) |
| |
| 2022: Franklin (R)* 74.67%, Hayden (I) 25.33% |
| Florida-19 |
| Fort Myers, Cape Coral, Naples |
| Rep. Byron Donalds (R)* |
| Kari Lerner (D) |
| |
| 2022: Donalds (R)* 68.00%, Banyai (D) 31.99% |
| Florida-20 |
| West Palm Beach, Pahokee, Fort Lauderdale |
| Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D)* |
| Unopposed |
| |
| 2022: Cherfilus-McCormick (D)* 72.31%, Clark (R) 27.69% |
| Florida-21 |
| Port Saint Lucie, Jupiter, North Palm Beach |
| Rep. Brian Mast (R)* |
| Thomas Witkop (D) |
| |
| 2022: Mast (R)* 63.50%, Robinson (D) 36.50% |
| Florida-22 |
| West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, Delray Beach |
| Rep. Lois Frankel (D)* |
| Dan Franzese (R) |
| |
| 2022: Frankel (D)* 55.11%, Franzese (R) 44.89% |
| Florida-23 |
| Fort Lauderdale, Boca Raton, Coral Springs |
| Rep. Jared Moskowitz (D)* |
| Joe Kaufman (R) |
| |
| 2022: Moskowitz (D) 51.59%, Budd (R) 46.83% |
| Florida-24 |
| North Miami, Miami Gardens, Miami Beach |
| Rep. Frederica Wilson (D)* |
| Jesus Navarro (R) |
| |
| 2022: Wilson (D)* 71.79%, Navarro (R) 28.21% |
| Florida-25 |
| Hollywood, Davie, Weston |
| Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)* |
| Chris Eddy (R) |
| |
| 2022: Wasserman Schultz (D)* 55.09%, Spalding (R) 44.91% |
| Florida-26 |
| Miami, Hialeah, Everglades City |
| Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R) |
| Joey Atkins (D) |
| |
| 2022: Diaz-Balart (R) 70.87%, Olivo (D) 29.13% |
| Florida-27 |
| Miami, Kendall, Cutler Bay |
| Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R)* |
| Lucia Baez-Geller (D) |
| |
| 2022: Salazar (R)* 57.29%, Taddeo (D) 42.71% |
| Florida-28 |
| Homestead, Tamiami, Florida Keys |
| Rep. Carlos Giménez (R)* |
| Phil Ehr (D) |
| |
| 2022: Giménez (R)* 63.68%, Asencio (D) 36.31% |