2024 Michigan US House Election Predictions 2024 Michigan US House Election Predictions

2024 Michigan US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 Michigan US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

Michigan elects 13 members to the United States House of Representatives. At the present time, seven of these seats are held by Democrats, and the other six are Republican.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.  Primary elections were held on August 6, 2024.

The Michigan Secretary of State’s office is responsible for administering elections in the state.

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2024 Michigan US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Republicans6
Democrats5
Toss-Up2

2024 Michigan US House Election Predictions: By District

Michigan-01
Upper Peninsula, Traverse City, Alpena, Roscommon
Rep. Jack Bergman (R)*
Callie Barr (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Bergman (R)* 59.98%, Lorinser (D) 37.42%
Michigan-02
Cadillac, Mount Pleasant, Hastings
Rep. John Moolenaar (R)*
Michael Lynch (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Moolenaar (R)* 63.68%, Hilliard (D) 34.30%
Michigan-03
Grand Rapids, Muskegon
Rep. Hillary Scholten (D)*
Paul Hudson (R)
 Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Scholten (D) 54.87%, Gibbs (R) 41.96%
Michigan-04
Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, Benton Harbor, Holland
Rep. Bill Huizenga (R)*
Jessica Swartz (D)
 Likely Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Huizenga (R)* 54.36%, Alfonso (D) 42.47%
Michigan-05
Monroe, Jackson, Niles
Rep. Tim Walberg (R)*
Libbi Urban (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Walberg (R)* 62.42%, Goldberg (D) 34.97%
Michigan-06
Ann Arbor, Ypsilanti, Grosse Ile
Rep. Debbie Dingell (D)*
Heather Smiley (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Dingell (D)* 65.89%, Williams (R) 34.11%
Michigan-07
Lansing, Owosso, Brighton
Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D)* – Running for US Senate
Curtis Hertel (D)
Tom Barrett (R)
Toss-up election - Election Yard 
2022: Slotkin (D)* 51.73%, Barrett (R) 46.32%
Michigan-08
Flint, Saginaw, Bay City
Rep. Dan Kildee (D)* – Retiting
Kristen McDonald Rivet (D)
Paul Junge (R)
 Toss-up election - Election Yard
2022: Kildee (D)* 53.10%, Junge (R) 42.83%
Michigan-09
Macomb, Port Huron, Bad Axe
Rep. Lisa McClain (R)*
Clinton St. Mosley (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: McClain (R)* 63.90%, Jaye (D) 33.17%
Michigan-10
Warren, St. Clair Shores, Rochester Hills
Rep. John James (R)*
Carl Marlinga (D)
Tilt Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: James (R) 48.80%, Marlinga (D) 48.31%
Michigan-11
Troy, Farmington Hills, Waterford, Pontiac
Rep. Haley Stevens (D)*
Nick Somberg (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Stevens (D)* 61.32%, Ambrose (R) 38.68%
Michigan-12
Livonia, Dearborn Heights, Dearborn, Southfield
Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D)*
James Hooper (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Tlaib (D)* 70.84%, Elliott (R) 26.26%
Michigan-13
Detroit, Grosse Pointe, Romulus
Rep. Shri Thanedar (D)*
Martell Bivings (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Thanedar (D) 71.08%, Bivings (R) 23.97%
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