These are the 2024 New Jersey US House election predictions. This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.
New Jersey elects 12 members to the United States House of Representatives. Nine are held by Democrats, and three by Republicans.
Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. New Jersey held its primary on June 4.
Please visit the website of the New Jersey Department of State for further information on elections and voting.
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2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction
Democrats | 9 |
Republicans | 2 |
Toss-Up | 1 |
2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions: By District
New Jersey-01 |
Camden, Deptford, Glassboro |
Rep. Donald Norcross (D)* |
Teddy Liddell (R) |
2022: Norcross (D)* 62.34%, Gustafson (R) 35.19% |
New Jersey-02 |
Cape May, Atlantic City, Barnegat, Vineland |
Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R)* |
Joe Salerno (D) |
2022: Van Drew (R)* 58.87%, Alexander (D) 39.97% |
New Jersey-03 |
Mount Holly, Mercerville, Bass River, Freehold |
Rep. Andy Kim (D)* – Running for US Senate |
Herb Conaway (D) |
Rajesh Mohan (R) |
2022: Kim (D)* 55.46%, Healey (R) 43.64% |
New Jersey-04 |
Toms River, Point Pleasant, Lakewood, Tinton Falls |
Rep. Chris Smith (R)* |
Matthew Jenkins (D) |
2022: Smith (R)* 66.92%, Jenkins (D) 31.37% |
New Jersey-05 |
Fort Lee, Paramus, West Milford, Sussex |
Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D)* |
Mary Jo-Ann Guinchard (R) |
2022: Gottheimer (D)* 54.73%, Pallotta (R) 44.32% |
New Jersey-06 |
Edison, Carteret, Hazlet, Long Branch |
Rep. Frank Pallone (D)* |
Scott Felger (R) |
2022: Pallone (D)* 57.45%, Kiley (R) 41.01% |
New Jersey-07 |
Linden, Bedminster, Alpha, Sparta |
Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. (R)* |
Sue Altman (D) |
2022: Kean (R) 51.40%, Malinowski (D)* 48.60% |
New Jersey-08 |
Elizabeth, Jersey City, Union City, Harrison |
Rep. Rob Menendez (D)* |
Anthony Valdes (R) |
2022: Menendez (D) 73.62%, Arroyo (R) 23.44% |
New Jersey-09 |
East Rutherford, Passaic, Paterson, Oakland |
Vacant – Rep. Bill Pascrell (D)* passed away August 21 |
Nellie Pou (D) |
Billy Prempeh (R) |
2022: Pascrell (D)* 54.98%, Prempeh (R) 43.58% |
New Jersey-10 |
Newark, Orange, Union |
Vacant – Rep. Donald Payne Jr. (D)* passed away April 24 |
LaMonica McIver (D) |
Carmen Bucco (R) |
2022: Payne (D)* 77.64%, Pinckney (R) 20.04% |
New Jersey-11 |
Morristown, Dover, Wayne, Nutley |
Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D)* |
Joseph Belnome (R) |
2022: Sherrill (D)* 58.99%, DeGroot (R) 40.18% |
New Jersey-12 |
Trenton, Princeton, East Brunswick |
Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)* |
Darius Mayfield (R) |
2022: Watson Coleman (D)* 63.12%, Mayfield (R) 35.91% |