2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions 2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions

2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 New Jersey US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

New Jersey elects 12 members to the United States House of Representatives.  Nine are held by Democrats, and three by Republicans.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.  New Jersey held its primary on June 4.

Please visit the website of the New Jersey Department of State for further information on elections and voting.

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2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Democrats9
Republicans2
Toss-Up1

2024 New Jersey US House Election Predictions: By District

New Jersey-01
Camden, Deptford, Glassboro
Rep. Donald Norcross (D)*
Teddy Liddell (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Norcross (D)* 62.34%, Gustafson (R) 35.19%
New Jersey-02
Cape May, Atlantic City, Barnegat, Vineland
Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R)*
Joe Salerno (D)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Van Drew (R)* 58.87%, Alexander (D) 39.97%
New Jersey-03
Mount Holly, Mercerville, Bass River, Freehold
Rep. Andy Kim (D)* – Running for US Senate
Herb Conaway (D)
Rajesh Mohan (R)
Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Kim (D)* 55.46%, Healey (R) 43.64%
New Jersey-04
Toms River, Point Pleasant, Lakewood, Tinton Falls
Rep. Chris Smith (R)*
Matthew Jenkins (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Smith (R)* 66.92%, Jenkins (D) 31.37%
New Jersey-05
Fort Lee, Paramus, West Milford, Sussex
Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D)*
Mary Jo-Ann Guinchard (R)
Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Gottheimer (D)* 54.73%, Pallotta (R) 44.32%
New Jersey-06
Edison, Carteret, Hazlet, Long Branch
Rep. Frank Pallone (D)*
Scott Felger (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Pallone (D)* 57.45%, Kiley (R) 41.01%
New Jersey-07
Linden, Bedminster, Alpha, Sparta
Rep. Tom Kean, Jr. (R)*
Sue Altman (D)
 Toss-up election - Election Yard
2022: Kean (R) 51.40%, Malinowski (D)* 48.60%
New Jersey-08
Elizabeth, Jersey City, Union City, Harrison
Rep. Rob Menendez (D)*
Anthony Valdes (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Menendez (D) 73.62%, Arroyo (R) 23.44%
New Jersey-09
East Rutherford, Passaic, Paterson, Oakland
Vacant – Rep. Bill Pascrell (D)* passed away August 21
Nellie Pou (D)
Billy Prempeh (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Pascrell (D)* 54.98%, Prempeh (R) 43.58%
New Jersey-10
Newark, Orange, Union
Vacant – Rep. Donald Payne Jr. (D)* passed away April 24
LaMonica McIver (D)
Carmen Bucco (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Payne (D)* 77.64%, Pinckney (R) 20.04%
New Jersey-11
Morristown, Dover, Wayne, Nutley
Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D)*
Joseph Belnome (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Sherrill (D)* 58.99%, DeGroot (R) 40.18%
New Jersey-12
Trenton, Princeton, East Brunswick
Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)*
Darius Mayfield (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Watson Coleman (D)* 63.12%, Mayfield (R) 35.91%
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