These are the 2024 New York US House election predictions. This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.
New York elects 26 members to the United States House of Representatives. At the present time, 16 are Democrats and 10 are Republicans.
The state has enacted a new Congressional map for the 2024 election. As such, we are omitting the 2022 election results below since many districts have been reconfigured.
New York also allows candidates to run on multiple ballot lines; we are only listing a candidate’s primary party affiliation. For further information on other ballot lines hosting a candidate, please refer to the New York State Board of Elections website or the candidates’ websites themselves. More information on New York elections can be found through the website of the New York State Board of Elections.
Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. Primary day in New York was June 25.
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2024 New York US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction
| Democrats | 17 (+1) |
| Republicans | 6 (-1) |
| Toss-Up | 3 |
2024 New York US House Election Predictions: By District
| New York-01 |
| Riverhead, Smithtown, The Hamptons |
| Rep. Nick LaLota (R)* |
| John Avlon (D) |
 |
| New York-02 |
| Islip, Babylon, Patchogue, Massapequa Park |
| Rep. Andrew Garbarino (R)* |
| Rob Lubin (D) |
 |
| New York-03 |
| Glen Cove, Farmingdale, Westbury, Bayside |
| Rep. Tom Suozzi (D)* |
| Mike LiPetri (R) |
 |
| New York-04 |
| Long Beach, Hempstead, Valley Stream |
| Rep. Anthony D’Esposito (R)* |
| Laura Gillen (D) |
 |
| New York-05 |
| Rockaway Beach, Ozone Park, Jamaica |
| Rep. Greg Meeks (D)* |
| Paul King (R) |
 |
| New York-06 |
| Flushing, Forest Hills, Fresh Meadows, Utopia |
| Rep. Grace Meng (D)* |
| Thomas Zmich (R) |
| |
| New York-07 |
| Williamsburg, Bushwick, Long Island City, Woodhaven |
| Rep. Nydia Velázquez (D)* |
|
| New York-08 |
| Coney Island, Canarsie, Bedford-Stuyvesant |
| Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D)* |
| John Delaney (R) |
| |
| New York-09 |
| Flatbush, Crown Heights, Midwood |
| Rep. Yvette Clarke (D)* |
| Unopposed |
| |
| New York-10 |
| Greenwich Village, Park Slope, Sunset Park |
| Rep. Dan Goldman (D)* |
| Alex Dodenhoff (R) |
| |
| New York-11 |
| Staten Island, Bensonhurst, Bay Ridge |
| Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R)* |
| Andrea Morse (D) |
| |
| New York-12 |
| Central Park, Midtown Manhattan, Chelsea |
| Rep. Jerry Nadler (D)* |
| Michael Zumbluskas (R) |
| |
| New York-13 |
| Harlem, Washington Heights, Fordham |
| Rep. Adriano Espaillat (D)* |
| Ruben Vargas (R) |
| |
| New York-14 |
| Astoria, Hunts Point, College Point, City Island |
| Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)* |
| Tina Forte (R) |
| |
| New York-15 |
| Riverdale, East Tremont, Highbridge, Mott Haven |
| Rep. Ritchie Torres (D)* |
| Gonzalo Duran (R) |
| |
| New York-16 |
| White Plains, Yonkers, Rye, New Rochelle |
| Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D)* – Lost in Primary |
| George Latimer (D) |
| Miriam Flisser (R) |
| |
| New York-17 |
| Spring Valley, Peekskill, Mahopac, East Fishkill |
| Rep. Mike Lawler (R)* |
| Mondaire Jones (D) |
| |
| New York-18 |
| Poughkeepsie, Kingston, Middletown, Newburgh |
| Rep. Pat Ryan (D)* |
| Alison Esposito (R) |
 |
| New York-19 |
| Hudson, Monticello, Oneonta, Binghamton, Ithaca |
| Rep. Marc Molinaro (R)* |
| Josh Riley (D) |
| |
| New York-20 |
| Albany, Schenectady, Troy, Saratoga Springs |
| Rep. Paul Tonko (D)* |
| Kevin Waltz (R) |
| |
| New York-21 |
| Plattsburgh, The Adirondacks, Ilion |
| Rep. Elise Stefanik (R)* |
| Paula Collins (D) |
| |
| New York-22 |
| Syracuse, Auburn, Cortland, Utica |
| Rep. Brandon Williams (R)* |
| John Mannion (D) |
 |
| New York-23 |
| Jamestown, Elmira, Orchard Park, Olean |
| Rep. Nick Langworthy (R)* |
| Thomas Carle (D) |
| |
| New York-24 |
| Watertown, Oswego, Geneseo, Batavia |
| Rep. Claudia Tenney (R)* |
| David Wagenhauser (D) |
| |
| New York-25 |
| Rochester, Brockport, Irondequoit |
| Rep. Joe Morelle (D)* |
| Gregg Sadwick (R) |
| |
| New York-26 |
| Buffalo, Lackawanna, Tonawanda, Niagara Falls |
| Rep. Tim Kennedy (D)* |
| Anthony Marecki (R) |
| |