These are the 2024 North Carolina US House election predictions. This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.
North Carolina elects 14 members to the United States House of Representatives. As of the 2024 election, each party controlled seven seats.
New Congressional district lines will go into effect for this election; 2022 election results will not be included below, as some districts are very different from the prior configuration.
Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024. North Carolina held its primary on March 5.
North Carolina elections are administered by the North Carolina State Board of Elections.
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2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction
Republicans | 10 (+3) |
Democrats | 3 (-3) |
Toss-Up | 1 |
2024 North Carolina US House Election Predictions: By District
North Carolina-01 |
Elizabeth City, Roanoke Rapids, Wilson, Goldsboro |
Rep. Don Davis (D)* |
Laurie Buckhout (R) |
North Carolina-02 |
Raleigh, Garner, Cary |
Rep. Deborah Ross (D)* |
Alan Swain (R) |
North Carolina-03 |
Nags Head, New Bern, Greenville, Jacksonville |
Rep. Greg Murphy (R)* |
Gheorghe Cormos (Lbt) |
North Carolina-04 |
Durham, Chapel Hill, Apex, Pittsboro |
Rep. Valerie Foushee (D)* |
Eric Blankenburg (R) |
North Carolina-05 |
Greensboro, Mount Airy, Boone, Lenoir |
Rep. Virginia Foxx (R)* |
Chuck Hubbard (D) |
North Carolina-06 |
Greensboro, High Point, Salisbury, Kannapolis |
No Incumbent |
Addison McDowell (R) |
Kevin Hayes (Const) |
North Carolina-07 |
Wilmington, Elizabethtown, Fayetteville |
Rep. David Rouzer (R)* |
Marlando Pridgen (D) |
North Carolina-08 |
Matthews, Monroe, Rockingham, Lumberton |
Rep. Dan Bishop (R)* – Retiring |
Mark Harris (R) |
Justin Dues (D) |
North Carolina-09 |
Fayetteville, Asheboro, Burlington |
Rep. Richard Hudson (R)* |
Nigel Bristow (D) |
North Carolina-10 |
Hickory, Statesville, Winston-Salem |
Rep. Patrick McHenry (R)* – Retiring |
Pat Harrigan (R) |
Ralph Scott (D) |
North Carolina-11 |
Asheville, Murphy, Marion |
Rep. Chuck Edwards (R)* |
Caleb Rudow (D) |
North Carolina-12 |
Charlotte, Pineville |
Rep. Alma Adams (D)* |
Addul Ali (R) |
North Carolina-13 |
Sanford, Benson, Wake Forest, Roxboro |
Rep. Wiley Nickel (D)* – Retiring |
Frank Pierce (D) |
Brad Knott (R) |
North Carolina-14 |
Morganton, Gastonia, Huntersville, Ballantyne |
Rep. Jeff Jackson (D)* – Retiring |
Pam Genant (D) |
Tim Moore (R) |