2024 Washington US House Election Predictions 2024 Washington US House Election Predictions

2024 Washington US House Election Predictions

These are the 2024 Washington US House election predictions.  This page was last updated on September 1, 2024.

Washington elects 10 members to the United States House of Representatives.  At the present time, eight are Democrats and two are Republicans.

Election day in the United States is November 5, 2024.  The Washington State primary was held on August 6; Washington uses a top-two “open” primary system, so it is possible for both candidates on the general election ballot to be from the same party. Further information on Washington State elections can be found at the Washington Secretary of State website.

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2024 Washington US House Election Predictions: Overall Prediction

Democrats7
Republicans2
Toss-Up1

2024 Washington US House Election Predictions: By District

Washington-01
Remond, Kirkland, Bothell, Marysville
Rep. Suzan DelBene (D)*
Jeb Brewer (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: DelBene (D)* 63.48%, Cavaleri (R) 36.39%
Washington-02
Bellingham, Oak Harbor, Everett, Edmonds
Rep. Rick Larsen (D)*
Cody Hart (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Larsen (D)* 60.07%, Matthews (R) 39.75%
Washington-03
Vancouver, Longview, Ocean Park, Centralia
Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D)*
Joe Kent (R)
 Toss-up election - Election Yard
2022: Perez (D) 50.14%, Kent (R) 49.31%
Washington-04
Yakima, Kennewick, Moses Lake, Omak
Rep. Dan Newhouse (R)*
Jerrod Sessler (R)
 Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Newhouse (R)* 66.46%, White (D) 31.20%
Washington-05
Spokane, Pullman, Walla Walla, Colville
Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)* – Retiring
Michael Baumgartner (R)
Carmela Conroy (D)
Safe Rep - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: McMorris Rodgers (R)* 59.51%, Hill (D) 40.25%
Washington-06
Bremerton, Port Angeles, Tacoma, Aberdeen
Rep. Derek Kilmer (D)* – Retiring
Emily Randall (D)
Drew MacEwen (R)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Kilmer (D)* 60.00%, Kreiselmaier (R) 39.89%
Washington-07
Seattle, Shoreline, Vashon Island
Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D)*
Dan Alexander (R)
Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard 
2022: Jayapal (D)* 85.39%, Moon (R) 14.20%
Washington-08
Issaquah, Maple Valley, Mount Rainier, Wenatchee
Rep. Kim Schrier (D)*
Carmen Goers (R)
 Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Schrier (D)* 53.27%, Larkin (R) 46.42%
Washington-09
Seattle, Bellevue, Renton, Federal Way
Rep. Adam Smith (D)*
Melissa Chaudhry (D)
 Safe Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Smith (D)* 71.61%, Basler (R) 28.20%
Washington-10
Olympia, Yelm, Steilacoom, Puyallup
Rep. Marilyn Strickland (D)*
Don Hewett (R)
Likely Dem - Hold - Election Yard
2022: Strickland (D)* 56.97%, Swank (R) 42.87%
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