We take a look at the 2024 Nebraska 2nd District House race today, which will provide a rare Heartland opportunity for a flip to Democrats.
Since the 2016 election, the Republicans have held all three House seats in Nebraska. In fact, since the 1994 election, the Democrats have won one House seat, one time, in this state. It should be no surprise that it was the 2nd District. When the Democrats flipped this seat in 2014, this was a blemish in an otherwise good midterm year for the GOP. The Republicans won it back in 2016, and have held it ever since.
However, this does not mean that subsequent elections have been decisive. All four elections in which the now-incumbent GOP representative has run have been close. Don Bacon, the congressman for Nebraska’s 2nd District, has never gotten more than 51.33 percent in a general election despite winning four terms. In our below preview video, we refer to this district as a “white whale” for Democrats. This is a seat they keep chasing, and for good reason, but with the exception of one midterm election, they continue to lose it.
Nevertheless, Democrats feel like they have a chance in this district in 2024 – and they are correct. With the realistic possibility that Kamala Harris carries the 2nd at the presidential level, since it splits its electoral votes, will Democrats find a way to consolidate their vote and pick off a vulnerable GOP incumbent?
2024 Nebraska 2nd District House Race in 4 Minutes or Less
In 2024, Bacon has a rematch with his 2022 Democratic opponent, State Sen. Tony Vargas from Omaha.
Election Yard Election Predictions
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2024 Nebraska 2nd District House Race: Candidates
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References Cited
- The Nebraska Secretary of State’s website has the election results from 2022, as well as all recent past elections in the state.
- Candidate websites, linked above, were the sources for individual candidate stances cited in “notes and issues.”
- Please note: In the video, we cited Bacon’s rank at the time of his retirement from the US Air Force. It is shared for informational purposes only. This does not, and is not intended to, imply or state any endorsement on the part of the branch of service or the Department of Defense.
Next Up
Election Yard will have a rare look at a gubernatorial race this cycle. We zoom up to the Granite State to check out the race for New Hampshire governor.
