The following are the British Columbia 2025 Canadian election predictions for the April 28th federal vote.
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British Columbia 2025 Canadian Election Prediction: Overall Picture
Interior
| Cariboo — Prince George |
| Todd Doherty (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 51.17%, NDP 20.40%, Lib 16.26% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Columbia — Kootenay — Southern Rockies |
| Rob Morrison (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.62%, NDP 36.64%, Lib 8.94% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Kamloops — Shuswap — Central Rockies |
| Mel Arnold (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.01%, NDP 25.04%, Lib 16.61% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Kamloops — Thompson — Nicola |
| Frank Caputo (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.50%, NDP 28.56%, Lib 17.70% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Kelowna |
| Tracy Gray (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 42.31%, Lib 26.24%, NDP 21.15% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Okanagan Lake West — South Kelowna |
| Dan Albas (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 48.35%, Lib 23.22%, NDP 18.89% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Prince George — Peace River — Northern Rockies |
| Bob Zimmer (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 59.33%, NDP 14.37%, PPC 10.40% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Similkameen — South Okanagan — West Kootenay |
| Richard Cannings (NDP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 38.97%, CPC 37.58%, Lib 13.23% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| Skeena — Bulkley Valley |
| Taylor Bachrach (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 42.58%, CPC 36.14%, PPC 7.72% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| Vernon — Lake Country — Monashee |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.83%, NDP 21.71%, Lib 19.77% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
Lower Mainland
| Abbotsford — South Langley |
| Ed Fast (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.59%, Lib 26.05%, NDP 18.22% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Burnaby Central |
| Jagmeet Singh (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 39.78%, Lib 31.25%, CPC 22.16% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| Burnaby North — Seymour |
| Terry Beech (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 40.88%, CPC 26.56%, NDP 26.52% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Chilliwack — Hope |
| Mark Strahl (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.99%, NDP 26.42%, Lib 17.12% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Cloverdale — Langley City |
| Tamara Jansen (CPC) – Won By-Election |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 39.10%, CPC 36.12%, NDP 19.96% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Coquitlam — Port Coquitlam |
| Ron McKinnon (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 37.92%, CPC 30.12%, NDP 27.60% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Langley Township — Fraser Heights |
| Tako van Popta (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.92%, Lib 29.58%, NDP 19.53% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Mission — Matsqui — Abbotsford |
| Brad Vis (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.12%, Lib 24.22%, NDP 17.99% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| New Westminster — Burnaby — Maillardville |
| Peter Julian (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 47.98%, Lib 23.44%, CPC 21.02% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| North Vancouver — Capilano |
| Jonathan Wilkinson (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.69%, CPC 29.38%, NDP 19.05% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Pitt Meadows — Maple Ridge |
| Marc Dalton (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 37.14%, NDP 31.29%, Lib 24.65% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Port Moody — Coquitlam |
| Bonita Zarrillo (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 35.04%, CPC 31.96%, Lib 29.48% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| West Vancouver — Sunshine Coast — Sea to Sky Country |
| Patrick Weiler (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 33.05%, CPC 29.14%, NDP 26.89% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Delta, Richmond, & Surrey
| Delta |
| Carla Qualtrough (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.54%, CPC 33.54%, NDP 18.45% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Fleetwood — Port Kells |
| Ken Hardie (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.93%, CPC 28.53%, NDP 20.34% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Richmond Centre — Marpole |
| Wilson Miao (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 38.58%, CPC 35.45%, NDP 20.38% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Richmond East — Steveston |
| Parm Bains (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 41.91%, CPC 33.99%, NDP 19.38% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| South Surrey — White Rock |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 42.44%, Lib 38.90%, NDP 14.80% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Surrey Centre |
| Randeep Sarai (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.63%, NDP 27.57%, CPC 20.66% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Surrey Newton |
| Sukh Dhaliwal (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 54.43%, NDP 26.08%, CPC 15.22% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Vancouver
| Vancouver Centre |
| Hedy Fry (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 40.67%, NDP 30.34%, CPC 21.90% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Vancouver East |
| Jenny Kwan (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 56.40%, Lib 19.76%, CPC 10.89% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
| Vancouver Fraserview — South Burnaby |
| Harjit Sajjan (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.32%, NDP 31.10%, CPC 21.88% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Vancouver Granville |
| Taleeb Noormohamed (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 37.23%, NDP 32.91%, CPC 24.66% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Vancouver Kingsway |
| Don Davies (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 50.40%, Lib 29.02%, CPC 14.14% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| Vancouver Quadra |
| Joyce Murray (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 43.39%, CPC 29.22%, NDP 19.39% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Vancouver Island
| Courtenay — Alberni |
| Gord Johns (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 42.88%, CPC 31.30%, Lib 13.61% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| Cowichan — Malahat — Langford |
| Alistair MacGregor (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 42.78%, CPC 28.36%, Lib 16.38% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| Esquimalt — Saanich — Sooke |
| Vacant – Previously NDP |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 43.23%, Lib 21.88%, CPC 20.97% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| Nanaimo — Ladysmith |
| Lisa Marie Barron (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 29.38%, CPC 26.58%, Grn 25.85% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| North Island — Powell River |
| Rachel Blaney (NDP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 39.46%, CPC 36.22%, Lib 13.30% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| Saanich — Gulf Islands |
| Elizabeth May (Grn) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Grn 35.77%, CPC 22.65%, NDP 19.55% |
| Prediction: Green Hold |
| Victoria |
| Laurel Collins (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 43.90%, Lib 27.26%, CPC 13.71% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |