The following are the Alberta 2025 Canadian election predictions for the April 28th federal vote.
To return to the main prediction page and general analysis of the Canadian federal election, please follow this link.
Alberta 2025 Canadian Election Prediction: Overall Picture
Southern Alberta
| Airdrie — Cochrane |
| Blake Richards (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 59.90%, NDP 14.92%, Lib 10.16% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Battle River — Crowfoot |
| Damien Kurek (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 71.38%, NDP 9.70%, PPC 9.33% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Bow River |
| Martin Shields (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 69.57%, PPC 9.85%, NDP 9.37% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Foothills |
| John Barlow (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 68.43%, NDP 11.39%, PPC 8.21% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Lethbridge |
| Rachael Thomas (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 55.38%, NDP 19.22%, Lib 15.07% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Medicine Hat — Cardston — Warner |
| Glen Motz (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 65.80%, NDP 13.89%, PPC 9.32% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Ponoka — Didsbury |
| Blaine Calkins (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 67.87%, PPC 13.36%, NDP 10.95% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Red Deer |
| Earl Dreeshen (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 60.51%, NDP 17.35%, PPC 11.29% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Yellowhead |
| Gerald Soroka (CPC) – Not Re-Selected |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 60.23%, NDP 14.67%, Lib 10.62% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
Calgary
| Calgary Centre |
| Greg McLean (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 50.92%, Lib 30.06%, NDP 16.42% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Confederation |
| Len Webber (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.69%, Lib 27.89%, NDP 17.72% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Crowfoot |
| Pat Kelly (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 54.94%, Lib 21.69%, NDP 16.18% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary East |
| Jasraj Singh Hallan (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 52.86%, Lib 18.54%, NDP 18.08% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Heritage |
| Shuv Majumdar (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 58.32%, NDP 17.28%, Lib 16.19% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary McKnight |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 43.76%, CPC 34.22%, NDP 16.18% |
| Prediction: Liberal Win |
| Calgary Midnapore |
| Stephanie Kusie (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 60.27%, NDP 18.54%, Lib 12.46% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Nose Hill |
| Michelle Rempel Garner (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 55.32%, Lib 20.33%, NDP 16.92% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Shepard |
| Tom Kmiec (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 61.20%, NDP 16.03%, Lib 13.92% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Signal Hill |
| Ron Liepert (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 59.81%, Lib 19.38%, NDP 14.13% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Calgary Skyview |
| Geirge Chahal (Lib) – Running in Calgary McKnight |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 44.96%, Lib 33.12%, NDP 16.53% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Northern Alberta
| Fort McMurray — Cold Lake |
| Laila Goodridge (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 67.81%, PPC 12.70%, NDP 10.12% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Grande Prairie |
| Chris Warkentin (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 68.96%, NDP 11.85%, PPC 10.20% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Lakeland |
| Shannon Stubbs (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 69.40%, PPC 11.06%, NDP 10.51% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Leduc — Wetaskiwin |
| Mike Lake (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 63.37%, NDP 17.60%, PPC 11.20% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Parkland |
| Dane Lloyd (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 63.09%, NDP 16.28%, PPC 11.28% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Peace River — Westlock |
| Arnold Viersen (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 62.65%, NDP 13.16%, PPC 12.53% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| St. Albert — Sturgeon River |
| Michael Cooper (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 56.03%, NDP 23.55%, Lib 11.38% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
Edmonton
| Edmonton Centre |
| Randy Boissonnault (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 32.60%, Lib 31.21%, NDP 30.41% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Edmonton Gateway |
| Tim Uppal (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.12%, Lib 25.41%, NDP 25.32% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Edmonton Griesbach |
| Blake Desjarlais (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 40.36%, CPC 36.31%, Lib 15.17% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
| Edmonton Manning |
| Ziad Aboultaif (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 41.12%, NDP 31.01%, Lib 20.57% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Edmonton Northwest |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.10%, NDP 27.63%, Lib 22.87% |
| Prediction: Conservative Win |
| Edmonton Riverbend |
| Matt Jeneroux (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.44%, Lib 24.93%, NDP 24.43% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Edmonton Southeast |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 37.70%, Lib 34.00%, NDP 22.32% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| Edmonton Strathcona |
| Heather McPherson (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 57.95%, CPC 26.77, Lib 9.02% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
| Edmonton West |
| Kelly McCauley (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.62%, NDP 24.52%, Lib 24.45% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Sherwood Park — Fort Saskatchewan |
| Garnett Genuis (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 57.55%, NDP 20.64%, Lib 12.23% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |