The following are the Atlantic Canada 2025 Canadian election predictions for the April 28th federal vote.
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Atlantic Canada 2025 Canadian Election Prediction: By Province
Newfoundland and Labrador
| Avalon |
| Ken McDonald (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 50.88%, CPC 33.04%, NDP 14.25% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Cape Spear |
| Seamus O’Regan (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 54.72%, NDP 23.13%, CPC 20.38% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Central Newfoundland |
| Clifford Small (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.89%, Lib 46.00%, NDP 7.10% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| Labrador |
| Yvonne Jones (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.67%, CPC 30.35%, NDP 23.80% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Long Range Mountains |
| Gudie Hutchings (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.38%, CPC 39.35%, NDP 11.93% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Saint John’s East |
| Joanne Thompson (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.14%, NDP 34.84%, CPC 18.09% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Terra Nova – The Peninsulas |
| Churence Rogers (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.23%, CPC 40.45%, NDP 8.33% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Prince Edward Island
| Cardigan |
| Lawrence MacAulay (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 50.56%, CPC 30.91%, NDP 9.77% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Charlottetown |
| Sean Casey (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 46.70%, CPC 31.06%, NDP 10.72% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Egmont |
| Bobby Morrissey (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.94%, CPC 31.04%, Grn 9.41% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Malpeque |
| Heath MacDonald (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.02%, CPC 33.13%, Grn 14.02% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Nova Scotia
| Acadie – Annapolis |
| Chris d’Entremont (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 51.31%, Lib 30.69%, NDP 12.69% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Cape Breton – Canso – Antigonish |
| Jaime Battiste (Lib) – Switched with M. Kelloway |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.43%, CPC 35.11, NDP 14.75% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Central Nova |
| Sean Fraser (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.30%, CPC 32.85%, NDP 16.15% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Cumberland – Colchester |
| Stephen Ellis (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.02%, Lib 34.20%, NDP 12.33% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| Dartmouth – Cole Harbour |
| Darren Fisher (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 51.50%, NDP 32.97%, PPC 9.75% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Halifax |
| Vacant – Formerly Liberal |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.24%, NDP 40.29%, CPC 12.75% |
| Prediction: Liberal Win |
| Halifax West |
| Lena Diab (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.55%, NDP 26.00%, CPC 21.55% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Kings – Hants |
| Kody Blois (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.39%, CPC 30.25%, NDP 18.90% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Sackville – Preston – Chezzetcook |
| Darrell Samson (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.65%, CPC 24.99%, NDP 24.78% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| South Shore – St. Margarets |
| Rick Perkins (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.39%, Lib 35.58%, NDP 18.20% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| Sydney – Glace Bay |
| Mike Kelloway (Lib) – Switched with J. Battiste |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 41.93%, CPC 34.17%, NDP 19.76% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
New Brunswick
| Acadie – Bathurst |
| Serge Cormier (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 64.96%, CPC 13.85%, NDP 11.25% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Beauséjour |
| Dominic LeBlanc (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 55.54%, CPC 19.42%, NDP 10.97% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Fredericton – Oromocto |
| Jenica Atwin (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 37.79%, CPC 34.51%, NDP 13.00% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Fundy Royal |
| Rob Moore (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.33%, Lib 25.59%, NDP 14.50% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Madawaska – Restigouche |
| René Arseneault (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 51.99%, CPC 27.77%, PPC 7.54% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Miramichi – Grand Lake |
| Jake Stewart (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.46%, Lib 37.00%, NDP 7.39% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| Moncton – Dieppe |
| Ginette Petitpas Taylor (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 50.03%, CPC 22.60%, NDP 16.80% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Saint John – Kennebecasis |
| Wayne Long (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.60%, CPC 36.39%, NDP 13.18% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Saint John – St. Croix |
| John Williamson (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.00%, Lib 28.07%, NDP 13.09% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Tobique – Mactaquac |
| Richard Bragdon (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 52.83%, Lib 22.65%, NDP 11.53% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |