The following are the Ontario 2025 Canadian election predictions for the April 28th federal vote.
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Ontario 2025 Canadian Election Prediction: Overall Picture
Ottawa
| Carleton |
| Pierre Poilievre (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 51.86%, Lib 31.86%, NDP 11.37% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Kanata |
| Jenna Sudds (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 43.16%, CPC 36.85%, NDP 14.69% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Nepean |
| Chandra Arya (Lib) – Removed, Mark Carney Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.74%, CPC 33.37%, NDP 16.22% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Orléans |
| Marie-France Lalonde (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 52.34%, CPC 28.67%, NDP 14.45% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Ottawa Centre |
| Yasir Naqvi (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.24%, NDP 32.71%, CPC 16.28% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Ottawa South |
| David McGuinty (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 49.41%, CPC 26.97%, NDP 18.12% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Ottawa — Vanier — Gloucester |
| Mona Fortier (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 49.00%, NDP 23.26%, CPC 20.54% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Ottawa West — Nepean |
| Anita Vandenbeld (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.42%, CPC 27.67%, NDP 20.22% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Eastern Ontario
| Algonquin — Renfrew — Pembroke |
| Cheryl Gallant (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.50%, NDP 20.96%, Lib 19.37% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Bay of Quinte |
| Ryan Williams (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 40.59%, Lib 37.02%, NDP 15.25% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Hastings — Lennox and Addington — Tyendinaga |
| Shelby Kramp-Neuman (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.58%, Lib 34.47%, NDP 11.04% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Kingston and the Islands |
| Mark Gerretsen (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 40.69%, NDP 28.80%, CPC 24.55% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Lanark — Frontenac |
| Scott Reid (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.69%, Lib 25.83%, NDP 15.25% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Leeds — Grenville — Thousand Islands — Rideau Lakes |
| Michael Barrett (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 50.53%, Lib 25.20%, NDP 14.95% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Prescott — Russell — Cumberland |
| Francis Drouin (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.22%, CPC 32.40%, NDP 10.80% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Stormont — Dundas — Glengarry |
| Eric Duncan (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 54.32%, Lib 24.71%, NDP 10.90% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
Central Ontario
| Barrie South — Innisfil |
| John Brassard (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.67%, Lib 28.89%, NDP 15.77% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Barrie — Springwater — Oro-Medonte |
| Doug Shipley (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.79%, Lib 30.41%, NDP 16.62% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Bruce — Grey — Owen Sound |
| Alex Ruff (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.18%, Lib 25.23%, NDP 13.59% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Dufferin — Caledon |
| Kyle Seeback (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.04%, Lib 28.63%, NDP 10.38% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Haliburton — Kawartha Lakes |
| Jamie Schmale (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 51.97%, Lib 23.87%, NDP 14.23% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| New Tecumseth — Gwillimbury |
| Scot Davidson (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.67%, Lib 30.27%, NDP 13.05% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Northumberland — Clarke |
| Philip Lawrence (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.99%, Lib 34.02%, NDP 13.95% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Peterborough |
| Michelle Ferreri (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 39.19%, Lib 34.82%, NDP 19.16% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Simcoe — Grey |
| Terry Dowdall (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.42%, Lib 37.88%, NDP 13.17% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Simcoe North |
| Adam Chambers (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 42.18%, Lib 30.83%, NDP 15.96% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
Greater Toronto Area (905)
| Ajax |
| Mark Holland (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 56.83%, CPC 26.60%, NDP 14.04% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Aurora — Oak Ridges — Richmond Hill |
| Leah Taylor Roy (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.24%, CPC 42.06%, NDP 7.83% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Bowmanville — Oshawa North |
| Jamil Jivani (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 44.75%, Lib 30.80%, NDP 18.38% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Brampton Centre |
| Shafqat Ali (Lib) – Running in Brampton—Chinguacousy Park |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.32%, CPC 31.2%, NDP 15.78% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Brampton — Chinguacousy Park |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 50.81%, CPC 31.01%, NDP 16.82% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Brampton East |
| Maninder Sidhu (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 53.19%, CPC 28.56%, NDP 15.62% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Brampton North — Caledon |
| Ruby Sahota (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 51.44%, CPC 33.19%, NDP 13.95% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Brampton South |
| Sonia Sidhu (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 53.88%, CPC 29.46%, NDP 13.53% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Brampton West |
| Kamal Khera (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 56.29%, CPC 27.73%, NDP 12.76% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Burlington |
| Karina Gould (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.73%, CPC 37.25%, NDP 10.86% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Burlington North — Milton West |
| Adam van Koeverden (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.89%, CPC 36.60%, NDP 9.60% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| King — Vaughan |
| Anna Roberts (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 44.86%, Lib 42.90%, NDP 6.62% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Markham — Stouffville |
| Helena Jaczek (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 51.55%, CPC 34.75%, NDP 8.79% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Markham — Thornhill |
| Mary Ng (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 61.54%, CPC 26.38%, NDP 8.36% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Markham — Unionville |
| Paul Chiang (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.23%, CPC 42.43%, NDP 6.55% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Milton East — Halton Hills South |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 41.71%, CPC 41.25%, NDP 9.57% |
| Prediction: Liberal Win |
| Mississauga Centre |
| Omar Alghabra (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 53.88%, CPC 28.85%, NDP 11.32% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Mississauga East — Cooksville |
| Peter Fonseca (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 50.28%, CPC 31.60%, NDP 10.50% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Mississauga — Erin Mills |
| Iqra Khalid (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 51.19%, CPC 33.51%, NDP 10.30% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Mississauga — Lakeshore |
| Charles Sousa (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.01%, CPC 38.58%, NDP 9.77% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Mississauga — Malton |
| Iqwinder Gaheer (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 52.68%, CPC 30.79%, NDP 13.74% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Mississauga — Streetsville |
| Rechie Valdez (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.34%, CPC 34.32%, NDP 12.09% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Newmarket — Aurora |
| Tony Van Bynen (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 43.78%, CPC 38.16%, NDP 11.55% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Oakville East |
| Anita Anand (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 46.22%, CPC 39.43%, NDP 9.40% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Oakville West |
| Pam Damoff (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.49%, CPC 38.47%, NDP 8.70% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Oshawa |
| Colin Carrie (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 39.71%, NDP 28.50%, Lib 23.12% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Pickering — Brooklin |
| Jennifer O’Connell (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.16%, CPC 34.26%, NDP 13.48% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Richmond Hill South |
| Majid Jowhari (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.83%, CPC 38.76%, NDP 8.75% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Thornhill |
| Melissa Lantsman (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 51.72%, Lib 36.06%, NDP 5.97% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Vaughan — Woodbridge |
| Francesco Sorbara (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 46.15%, CPC 40.27%, NDP 6.93% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Whitby |
| Ryan Turnbull (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.09%, CPC 34.48%, NDP 14.41% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| York — Durham |
| New Riding |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 51.75%, Lib 28.50%, NDP 12.57% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Toronto
| Beaches — East York |
| Nathaniel Erskine-Smith (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 56.58%, NDP 22.52%, CPC 14.35% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Davenport |
| Julie Dzerowicz (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 43.60%, NDP 39.57%, CPC 10.85% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Don Valley North |
| Han Dong (Ind) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 52.77%, CPC 32.54%, NDP 9.92% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Don Valley West |
| Rob Oliphant (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 57.23%, CPC 29.91%, NDP 9.16% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Eglinton — Lawrence |
| Vacant – Previously Liberal |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.48%, CPC 36.45%, NDP 9.16% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Etobicoke Centre |
| Yvan Baker (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.14%, CPC 34.09%, NDP 10.76% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Etobicoke — Lakeshore |
| James Maloney (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.14%, CPC 32.47%, NDP 13.49% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Etobicoke North |
| Kirsty Duncan (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 58.88%, CPC 25.44%, NDP 10.54% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Humber River — Black Creek |
| Judy Sgro (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 60.69%, CPC 17.40%, NDP 16.40% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Scarborough — Agincourt |
| Jean Yip (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 56.24%, CPC 29.17%, NDP 10.08% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Scarborough Centre — Don Valley East |
| Salma Zahid (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 56.32%, CPC 25.32%, NDP 13.75% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Scarborough — Guildwood — Rouge Park |
| Gary Anandasangaree (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 61.28%, CPC 22.07%, NDP 13.38% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Scarborough North |
| Shaun Chen (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 66.98%, CPC 18.09%, NDP 11.59% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Scarborough Southwest |
| Bill Blair (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 57.96%, CPC 20.59%, NDP 15.99% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Scarborough — Woburn |
| John McKay (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 60.41%, CPC 22.55%, NDP 13.16% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Spadina — Harbourfront |
| Kevin Vuong (Ind) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 38.23%, NDP 33.84%, CPC 21.70% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Independent |
| Taiaiako’n — Parkdale — High Park |
| Arif Virani (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 42.79%, NDP 38.40%, CPC 13.33% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Toronto Centre |
| Marci Ien (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 49.83%, NDP 26.25%, CPC 12.93% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Toronto — Danforth |
| Julie Dabrusin (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.36%, NDP 33.67%, CPC 12.56% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Toronto — St. Paul’s |
| Don Stewart (CPC) – Won By-Election |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 49.51%, CPC 26.51%, NDP 15.89% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| University — Rosedale |
| Chrystia Freeland (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 46.48%, NDP 28.07%, CPC 17.94% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Willowdale |
| Ali Ehsassi (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 51.19%, CPC 33.86%, NDP 10.29% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| York Centre |
| Ya’ara Saks (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 47.29%, CPC 37.85%, NDP 10.18% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| York South — Weston — Etobicoke |
| Ahmed Hussen (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 55.58%, CPC 22.48%, NDP 15.09% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Hamilton and Niagara
| Flamborough — Glanbrook — Brant North |
| Dan Muys (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.78%, Lib 32.54%, NDP 14.62% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Hamilton Centre |
| Matthew Green (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 46.96%, Lib 26.73%, CPC 16.52% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
| Hamilton East — Stoney Creek |
| Chad Collins (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 39.07%, CPC 30.12%, NDP 21.68% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Hamilton Mountain |
| Lisa Hepfner (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 34.50%, NDP 31.56%, CPC 25.05% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Hamilton West — Ancaster — Dundas |
| Filomena Tassi (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 44.30%, CPC 29.07%, NDP 19.71% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Niagara Falls — Niagara-on-the-Lake |
| Tony Baldinelli (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 37.42%, Lib 35.19%, NDP 17.85% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Niagara South |
| Vance Badawey (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 33.41%, Lib 32.96%, NDP 22.79% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Niagara West |
| Dean Allison (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 44.03%, Lib 31.05%, NDP 13.97% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| St. Catharines |
| Chris Bittle (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 37.87%, CPC 32.37%, NDP 21.31% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
Midwest Ontario
| Brantford — Brant South — Six Nations |
| Larry Brock (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 40.08%, Lib 27.73%, NDP 20.29% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Cambridge |
| Bryan May (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 38.24%, CPC 34.14%, NDP 17.09% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Guelph |
| Lloyd Longfield (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 41.37%, CPC 23.45%, NDP 22.02% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Haldimand — Norfolk |
| Leslyn Lewis (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.39%, Lib 27.52%, NDP 13.29% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Huron — Bruce |
| Ben Lobb (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 50.93%, Lib 26.17%, NDP 14.80% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Kitchener Centre |
| Mike Morrice (Grn) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Grn 33.37%, CPC 24.84%, NDP 17.50% |
| Prediction: Green Hold |
| Kitchener — Conestoga |
| Tim Louis (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 38.29%, CPC 37.64%, NDP 11.93% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Kitchener South — Hespeler |
| Valerie Bradford (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 37.45%, CPC 35.54%, NDP 16.27% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Oxford |
| Arpan Khanna (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.79%, Lib 20.67%, NDP 18.44% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Perth — Wellington |
| John Nater (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 48.55%, Lib 24.62%, NDP 17.19% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Waterloo |
| Bardish Chagger (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.48%, CPC 27.44%, NDP 19.12% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Wellington — Halton Hills North |
| Michael Chong (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.78%, Lib 30.25%, NDP 11.96% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
Southwest Ontario
| Chatham-Kent — Leamington |
| Dave Epp (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 42.43%, Lib 26.74%, PPC 14.71% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Elgin — St. Thomas — London South |
| Karen Vecchio (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.25%, Lib 19.65%, NDP 16.18% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Essex |
| Chris Lewis (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 40.96%, NDP 31.66%, Lib 15.45% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| London Centre |
| Peter Fragiskatos (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 37.55%, NDP 30.38%, CPC 24.80% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| London — Fanshawe |
| Lindsay Mathyssen (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 43.50%, CPC 24.27%, Lib 23.05% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
| London West |
| Arielle Kayabaga (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 36.87%, CPC 34.15%, NDP 22.88% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Middlesex — London |
| Lianne Rood (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.25%, Lib 27.16%, NDP 17.85% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Sarnia — Lambton — Bkejwanong |
| Marilyn Gladu (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.50%, NDP 20.99%, Lib 19.39% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Windsor — Tecumseh — Lakeshore |
| Irek Kusmierczyk (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 30.88%, NDP 30.30%, CPC 27.03% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Windsor West |
| Brian Masse (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 44.27%, Lib 27.77%, CPC 19.34% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
Northern Ontario
| Kapuskasing — Timmins — Mushkegowuk |
| Charlie Angus (NDP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 35.79%, Lib 26.22%, CPC 25.18% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| Kenora — Kiiwetinoong |
| Eric Melillo (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 43.32%, NDP 29.14%, Lib 19.85% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Nipissing — Timiskaming |
| Anthony Rota (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 36.86%, CPC 31.88%, NDP 23.33% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Parry Sound — Muskoka |
| Scott Aitchison (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.93%, Lib 21.65%, NDP 16.83% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Sault Ste. Marie — Algoma |
| Terry Sheehan (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 35.59%, Lib 32.36%, NDP 25.89% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from Liberal |
| Sudbury |
| Viviane Lapointe (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 34.98%, NDP 28.90%, CPC 27.82% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Sudbury East — Manitoulin — Nickel Belt |
| Marc Serré (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 31.98%, NDP 30.34%, CPC 26.91% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Thunder Bay — Rainy River |
| Marcus Powlowski (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 34.26%, CPC 29.28%, NDP 28.45% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Thunder Bay — Superior North |
| Patty Hajdu (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 40.40%, NDP 27.71%, CPC 23.96% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |