The following are the Prairies 2025 Canadian election predictions for the April 28th federal vote. This includes Manitoba and Saskatchewan.
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Prairies 2025 Canadian Election Prediction: By Province
Manitoba
| Brandon — Souris |
| Larry Maguire (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 59.37%, NDP 20.39%, Lib 11.94% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Churchill — Keewatinook Aski |
| Niki Ashton (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 42.56%, Lib 25.18%, CPC 24.17% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from New Democratic |
| Elmwood — Transcona |
| Leila Dance (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 49.12%, CPC 28.45%, Lib 14.88% |
| Prediction: Conservative GAIN from New Democratic |
| Kildonan — St. Paul |
| Raquel Dancho (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 42.45%, Lib 27.91%, NDP 23.80% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Portage — Lisgar |
| Branden Leslie (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 52.15%, PPC 21.88%, NDP 13.42% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Provencher |
| Ted Falk (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 48.34%, PPC 17.49%, Lib 16.50% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Riding Mountain |
| Dan Mazier (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 59.19%, NDP 14.51%, Lib 12.74% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| St. Boniface — St. Vital |
| Dan Vandai (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 43.90%, CPC 28.29%, NDP 21.17% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Selkirk — Interlake — Eastman |
| James Bezan (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 56.97%, NDP 19.43%, Lib 13.24% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Winnipeg Centre |
| Leah Gazan (NDP) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): NDP 49.65%, Lib 28.95%, CPC 12.80% |
| Prediction: New Democratic Hold |
| Winnipeg North |
| Kevin Lamoureux (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 53.21%, NDP 27.75%, CPC 13.49% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Winnipeg South |
| Terry Duguid (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 48.15%, CPC 32.70%, NDP 14.34% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Winnipeg South Centre |
| Ben Carr (Lib) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 45.29%, CPC 28.12%, NDP 20.67% |
| Prediction: Liberal Hold |
| Winnipeg West |
| Marty Morantz (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 40.35%, Lib 39.24%, NDP 14.91% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
Saskatchewan
| Battlefords — Lloydminster — Meadow Lake |
| Rosemarie Falk (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 67.26%, NDP 12.91%, Lib 7.32% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Carlton Trail — Eagle Creek |
| Kelly Block (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 68.00%, NDP 14.04%, PPC 9.26% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Desnethé — Missinippi — Churchill River |
| Gary Vidal (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): Lib 46.35%, NDP 24.02%, CPC 23.57% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Conservative |
| Moose Jaw — Lake Centre — Lanigan |
| Fraser Tolmie (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 60.99%, NDP 18.93%, PPC 11.32% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Prince Albert |
| Randy Hoback (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 64.09%, NDP 15.02%, Lib 11.81% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Regina — Lewvan |
| Warren Stanley (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 46.16%, NDP 34.81%, Lib 14.30% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Regina — Qu’Appelle |
| Andrew Scheer (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 60.28%, NDP 22.67%, Lib 10.23% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Regina — Wascana |
| Michael Kram (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.90%, Lib 26.92%, NDP 18.07% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Saskatoon South |
| Kevin Waugh (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 49.25%, NDP 30.63%, Lib 14.37% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Saskatoon — University |
| Corey Tochor (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 47.92%, NDP 35.40%, Lib 10.86% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Saskatoon West |
| Brad Redekopp (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 45.37%, NDP 39.30%, Lib 8.19% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Souris — Moose Mountain |
| Robert Kitchen (CPC) – Not Running |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 76.01%, PPC 9.17%, NDP 8.05% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Swift Current — Grasslands — Kindersley |
| Jeremy Patzer (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 72.46%, NDP 10.27%, PPC 7.58% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |
| Yorkton — Melville |
| Cathay Wagantall (CPC) |
| Last Election (Under New Boundaries If Appl.): CPC 68.79%, NDP 12.11%, PPC 9.21% |
| Prediction: Conservative Hold |