The following are the Queensland 2025 Australian election predictions for the May 3rd federal election. This includes all 30 electorates in the state.
In order to return to Australia’s main election prediction page for this campaign, as well as general analysis of the election, please visit this link.
Queensland 2025 Australian Election Predictions: Overall Picture
| Blair |
| Shayne Neumann (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 55.23%, LNP 44.77% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Bonner |
| Ross Vasta (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 53.41%, ALP 46.59% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Bowman |
| Henry Pike (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 55.51%, ALP 44.49% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Brisbane |
| Stephen Bates (Grn) |
| Last Election (2PP): Grn 53.73%, LNP 46.27% (ALP 54.40% 2PP vs. LNP) |
| Prediction: Greens Retain |
| Capricornia |
| Michelle Landry (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 56.59%, ALP 43.41% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Dawson |
| Andrew Willcox (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 60.42%, ALP 39.58% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Dickson |
| Peter Dutton (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 51.70%, ALP 48.30% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Fadden |
| Cameron Caldwell (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 63.35%, ALP 36.65% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Fairfax |
| Ted O’Brien (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 58.95%, ALP 41.05% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Fisher |
| Andrew Wallace (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 58.67%, ALP 41.33% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Flynn |
| Colin Boyce (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 53.82%, ALP 46.18% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Forde |
| Bert van Manen (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 54.23%, ALP 45.77% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Griffith |
| Max Chandler-Mather (Grn) |
| Last Election (2PP): Grn 60.46%, LNP 39.54% (ALP 61.07% 2PP vs. LNP) |
| Prediction: Labor GAIN from Greens |
| Groom |
| Garth Hamilton (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 56.89%, Ind 43.11% (LNP 64.17% 2PP vs. ALP) |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Herbert |
| Phillip Thompson (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 61.77%, ALP 38.23% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Hinkler |
| Vacant – Previously LNP |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 60.07%, ALP 39.93% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Kennedy |
| Bob Katter (KAP) |
| Last Election (2PP): KAP 63.10%, LNP 36.90% (LNP 60.16% 2PP vs. ALP) |
| Prediction: KAP Retain |
| Leichhardt |
| Warren Entsch (LNP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 53.44%, ALP 46.56% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Lilley |
| Anika Wells (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 60.54%, LNP 39.46% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Longman |
| Terry Young (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 53.08%, ALP 46.92% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Maranoa |
| David Littleproud (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 72.12%, ALP 27.88% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| McPherson |
| Karen Andrews (LNP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 59.34%, ALP 40.66% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Moncrieff |
| Angie Bell (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 61.19%, ALP 38.81% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Moreton |
| Graham Perrett (ALP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 59.09%, LNP 40.91% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Oxley |
| Milton Dick (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 61.59%, LNP 38.41% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Petrie |
| Luke Howarth (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 54.44%, ALP 45.56% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Rankin |
| Jim Chalmers (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 59.09%, LNP 40.91% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Ryan |
| Elizabeth Watson-Brown (Grn) |
| Last Election (2PP): Grn 52.65%, LNP 47.35% (ALP 52.42% 2PP vs. LNP) |
| Prediction: Greens Retain |
| Wide Bay |
| Llew O’Brien (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 61.34%, ALP 38.66% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |
| Wright |
| Scott Buchholz (LNP) |
| Last Election (2PP): LNP 60.89%, ALP 39.11% |
| Prediction: LNP Retain |