The following are the Tasmania 2025 Australian election predictions for the May 3rd federal election. This includes all five electorates in the state.
In order to return to Australia’s main election prediction page for this campaign, as well as general analysis of the election, please visit this link.
Tasmania 2025 Australian Election Predictions: Overall Picture
| Bass |
| Bridget Archer (Lib) |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 51.43%, ALP 48.57% |
| Prediction: Liberal Retain |
| Braddon |
| Gavin Pearce (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 58.03%, ALP 41.97% |
| Prediction: Liberal Retain |
| Clark |
| Andrew Wilkie (Ind) |
| Last Election (2PP): Ind 70.82%, ALP 29.18% (ALP 67.24% 2PP vs. Lib) |
| Prediction: Independent Retain |
| Franklin |
| Julie Collins (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP):ALP 63.70%, Lib 36.30% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Lyons |
| Brian Mitchell (ALP) – Not Running |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 50.92%, Lib 49.08% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Labor |