The following are the Western Australia 2025 Australian election predictions for the May 3rd federal election.
This includes all 16 electorates in the state; Western Australia gained a seat on the latest distribution. The Division of Bullwinkel will be contested for the first time in 2025.
In order to return to Australia’s main election prediction page for this campaign, as well as general analysis of the election, please visit this link.
Western Australia 2025 Australian Election Predictions: Overall Picture
| Brand |
| Madeleine King (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 66.71%, Lib 33.29% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Bullwinkel |
| New Division |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 53.30%, Lib 46.70% |
| Prediction: Labor Win |
| Burt |
| Matt Keogh (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 65.21%, Lib 34.79% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Canning |
| Andrew Hastie (Lib) |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 53.59%, ALP 46.41% |
| Prediction: Liberal Retain |
| Cowan |
| Anne Aly (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 60.82%, Lib 39.18% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Curtin |
| Kate Chaney (Ind) |
| Last Election (2PP): Ind 51.26%, Lib 48.74% (Lib 55.60% 2PP vs. ALP) |
| Prediction: Independent Retain |
| Durack |
| Melissa Price (Lib) |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 54.27%, ALP 45.73% |
| Prediction: Liberal Retain |
| Forrest |
| Nola Marino (Lib) – Not Running |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 54.29%, ALP 45.71% |
| Prediction: Liberal Retain |
| Fremantle |
| Josh Wilson (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 66.89%, Lib 33.11% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Hasluck |
| Tania Lawrence (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 56.00%, Lib 44.00% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Moore |
| Ian Goodenough (Ind) – Elected as Lib |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 50.66%, ALP 49.34% |
| Prediction: Liberal GAIN from Independent |
| O’Connor |
| Rick Wilson (Lib) |
| Last Election (2PP): Lib 56.97%, ALP 43.03% |
| Prediction: Liberal Retain |
| Pearce |
| Tracey Roberts (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 59.04%, Lib 40.96% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Perth |
| Patrick Gorman (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 64.80%, Lib 35.20% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Swan |
| Zaneta Mascarenhas (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 58.77%, Lib 41.23% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |
| Tangney |
| Sam Lim (ALP) |
| Last Election (2PP): ALP 52.38%, Lib 47.62% |
| Prediction: Labor Retain |